Al Nassr Riyadh U21 - Al Qadisiyah U21 prediction 26 October 2026

The Al Nassr Riyadh U21 vs Al Qadisiyah U21 prediction for the League U21 clash on Oct 26 at 17:45 points towards Al Nassr Riyadh U21 as the likely favorite. Bookmakers and recent team form suggest the home side has a 51% chance of taking all three points, while Al Qadisiyah U21 faces an uphill battle at 24%. This makes the home victory the most probable outcome in this Saudi Arabia youth fixture.

Team Form

Al Nassr Riyadh U21's recent results show a mixed but resilient run. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat (W, D, D, D, L). Their most recent outing was a 1–2 away loss to Al Fateh U21 on Sep 6. Before that, they secured a commanding 4–0 home win against Al Jabalain U21 on Aug 31. The three consecutive draws prior to that—1–1 vs Al Najma Club U21, 1–1 vs Al Fateh U21, and 2–2 vs Al Ettifaq Dammam U21—demonstrate that they are hard to beat, especially at home where they remain undefeated in their last four.

Al Qadisiyah U21's form is less convincing. Their last five results: one win, one draw, and three defeats (D, L, L, W, L). They are coming off a 0–0 home draw with Al Hazem U21 on Oct 19. Before that, they suffered back-to-back away losses: 0–2 at Al Ittihad Jeddah U21 and 1–3 at Al Riyadh SC U21. The solitary win in this run was a 3–1 home success against Al Khaleej Saihat U21 on Aug 24. On the road, they have lost three of their last four, highlighting a clear vulnerability away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no historical head-to-head data available for these two U21 sides. The record stands at 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, indicating this will be the first competitive meeting between Al Nassr Riyadh U21 and Al Qadisiyah U21 in the available data. This makes form and current league standing even more critical for our analysis.

League Table Positions

While precise league table positions and points totals are not provided in the available data, the form guide offers clues. Al Nassr Riyadh U21's ability to avoid defeat in four of their last five matches suggests a mid-to-upper table standing. Conversely, Al Qadisiyah U21's three losses in five games points to a lower position. The home advantage for Al Nassr Riyadh U21—who scored four goals in one home game during this stretch—further tilts the balance in their favor.

Win Probability: Al Nassr Riyadh U21 or Al Qadisiyah U21?

Based on the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Al Nassr Riyadh U21 has a 51% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Al Qadisiyah U21 has a 24% chance.

This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.85, draw 2.30, away 3.00) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted downward for Al Qadisiyah U21 due to their poor away form (three losses in four) and upward for the home side's unbeaten home run. The draw probability is supported by Al Nassr Riyadh U21's three draws in their last five matches. Al Nassr Riyadh U21 are the clear favorites to win this game.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds reflect the expected match outcome. The best available prices are: Al Nassr Riyadh U21 win at 1.85, draw at 2.30, and Al Qadisiyah U21 win at 3.00. Other bookmakers offer a home win at 2.20 (draw 2.30, away 4.00) and 2.00 (draw 3.60, away 3.00). The market consensus clearly identifies Al Nassr Riyadh U21 as the favorite. Based on the stats, the Al Nassr Riyadh U21 win is the most likely result. However, the high number of recent draws for the home side means cautious bettors may also consider the draw at attractive odds of 2.30. Al Qadisiyah U21's low away goal output and defensive fragility make an away win unlikely.