Al Tadamon - Al Qadsia prediction 10 October 2026

Our Al Qadsia vs Al Tadamon prediction for the Kuwait Premier League match on October 10, 2026 points to a likely away victory. Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record, Al Qadsia enters the match as the strong favorite with a 58% win probability, while Al Tadamon has just a 9% chance of pulling off a home upset.

Team Form

Al Tadamon’s recent results paint a bleak picture. The team has lost four of its last five league matches (L-L-L-L-D), conceding 12 goals and scoring just 3 in return. A 4-1 defeat at Al Fahaheel on September 5, a 0-2 home loss to Al Salmiyah, and a 3-1 loss at Kazma highlight defensive frailties. The only point came in a 1-1 home draw with Al Nasr Farwaniyah on June 21.

Al Qadsia’s away form is mixed but includes notable wins. Over the last five outings overall (including friendlies), results read L-W-L-W-D. An away victory at Al Fahaheel (2-1) on August 25 and a 3-0 home win over Al Nasr Farwaniyah show attacking capability, but a 0-1 home loss to Al Kuwait SC and a 1-2 friendly loss to Al Fahaheel suggest occasional vulnerability. In league play, Al Qadsia has won two of three matches, scoring 5 and conceding only 2.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head data heavily favors Al Qadsia. In 24 total meetings, Al Qadsia has won 22, Al Tadamon just 1, with 1 draw. The last five encounters ended with four Al Qadsia victories and a goalless draw. Most recently, on May 25, 2026, Al Qadsia beat Al Tadamon 1-0 away. The goal difference over those five matches is 12-1 in Al Qadsia’s favor, underlining the gulf between the sides.

• May 25, 2026: Al Tadamon 0–1 Al Qadsia
• Mar 16, 2026: Al Tadamon 0–0 Al Qadsia
• Oct 31, 2025: Al Qadsia 3–0 Al Tadamon
• Apr 20, 2025: Al Tadamon 1–5 Al Qadsia
• Feb 14, 2025: Al Tadamon 0–3 Al Qadsia

League Table Positions

After three matchdays, Al Tadamon sits at the bottom of the Kuwait Premier League in 12th place with 0 points, having scored 2 goals and conceded 9. At home, the team has failed to gain any points, losing both matches. Al Qadsia, meanwhile, is in 3rd place with 6 points, a 5-2 goal record, and a perfect away record (1 win from 1 match). The 6-point gap and massive goal difference disparity make the visitors’ prospects look even brighter.

Win Probability: Al Qadsia or Al Tadamon?

Using the average bookmaker odds (home 8.40–11.00, draw 2.50–3.63, away 1.53–1.62) and adjusting for the teams’ recent form and head-to-head dominance, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Al Tadamon win: 9%
• Draw: 33%
• Al Qadsia win: 58%

Al Qadsia’s overwhelming advantage in past meetings, current league position, and the hosts’ dismal form all support the 58% win likelihood. The high draw chance reflects the low-scoring nature of some recent H2H matches, but an away win remains the most probable outcome by a wide margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Al Qadsia as the clear favorite, with best odds for the away win ranging from 1.53 to 1.62. The draw is offered around 2.58–3.63, while a home upset pays as high as 11.00. These odds mirror the performance gap between the teams. Based on the stats, our pick goes to an Al Qadsia victory, likely with a clean sheet given Al Tadamon’s scoring struggles.