Al Shahaniya - Lusail prediction 10 October 2026

Our Al Shahaniya vs Lusail prediction for this Stars League match on October 10, 2026, gives the home side a 40% win probability, with the draw at 35% and Lusail at 25%. The game kicks off at 15:45 local time and pits a mid-table Lusail against an inconsistent Al Shahaniya side.

Team Form

Al Shahaniya come into this match with mixed recent results: a loss, a win, a draw, a loss, and a win in their last five outings. Most recently, they fell 1-3 at home to Al Duhail in the Stars Cup on September 28. Before that, they secured a 1-0 away win at Al Ahli Doha, drew 1-1 at Al Duhail in the league, lost 4-2 at Al Shamal, and beat Al Sailiya 3-2 at home. That home victory on August 29 shows they can be dangerous in front of their own fans.

Lusail, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five matches (W2 D3). Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw away to Al Waab Sports Club in the Stars Cup. They also beat Al Markhiya 1-0 at home, drew 0-0 at Al Gharafa, thrashed Al Wakrah 4-0 at home, and played a thrilling 3-3 draw at Al Ahli Doha. Lusail have been solid defensively, keeping two clean sheets in that run.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met three times in competitive fixtures, and Al Shahaniya have never lost to Lusail (W2 D1). The most recent encounter was a 1-1 draw in the Stars Cup on December 6, 2025, where Lusail hosted. Prior to that, Al Shahaniya won 1-0 at home in League 2 in February 2024, and 2-0 at home in the Stars League in February 2023. The head-to-head record clearly favors the home team.

League Table Positions

In the Stars League standings, Lusail sit 4th with 5 points from 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Al Shahaniya are 9th with 3 points from 3 games (1 win, 2 losses). Al Shahaniya have played one home game and won it, scoring 3 goals. Lusail have played three away games, drawing two and losing one, with no wins on the road so far. The table suggests Lusail are the more consistent side overall, but their away form is a concern.

Win Probability: Al Shahaniya or Lusail?

After analyzing the available data—head-to-head record, recent form, league positions, and home/away factors—we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Al Shahaniya win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• Lusail win: 25%

Al Shahaniya’s historical dominance over Lusail (2 wins and a draw in 3 meetings) and their perfect home record this season give them the edge. However, Lusail’s five-match unbeaten streak and higher league position cannot be ignored. The draw probability is high because Lusail have drawn three of their last five, and Al Shahaniya have been inconsistent. Overall, Al Shahaniya are more likely to win, but a stalemate is a very realistic outcome.

Al Shahaniya vs Lusail Prediction & Odds

At the time of writing, bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available. Based on the statistical analysis, our prediction is a tight contest with Al Shahaniya having the slight upper hand. A 1-0 or 2-1 home win, or a 1-1 draw, are the most probable scorelines. Bettors should look for value in the draw market once odds are released, given Lusail’s tendency to share points away from home.