Al Zawraa - Al Shorta Bagdad prediction 23 October 2026
Al Zawraa
Al Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl Shorta Bagdad
Ghaz Al ShamalAl ZawraaQatar SCAl ZawraaDuhokAl ZawraaAl ZawraaAl Gharraf FCAl Quwa Al JawiyaAl ZawraaAl ZawraaAl KahrabaaAl MosulAl ZawraaAl ZawraaZakhoAl ZawraaAl Nafit MaysanKarbalaaAl ZawraaAl ZawraaAl MinaaAl NajafAl ZawraaAl ZawraaAl NaftAl Quwa Al JawiyaAl ZawraaAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl Shorta BagdadAl KarkhEast BengalAl Shorta BagdadAl TalabaAl Shorta BagdadAl Shorta BagdadAl KahrabaaAl Shorta BagdadAl SeebAl Shorta BagdadGhaz Al ShamalAl Gharraf FCAl Shorta BagdadAl Shorta BagdadErbil SCAl Shorta BagdadAl MosulAl JulanAl Shorta BagdadAl KarmaAl Shorta BagdadAl Shorta BagdadKarbalaaAl Shorta BagdadAl MinaaAl KarkhAl Shorta Bagdad- 40'EventMohanad Ali
- 59'EventA. Yahya
Al ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl ZawraaAl Shorta Bagdad| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Al Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta Bagdad | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Erbil SC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al Julan | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Minaa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Diyala FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Al Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Al Gharraf FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Al Nafit Maysan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbalaa | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta Bagdad Prediction (Oct 23)
The Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta Bagdad prediction for this Stars League clash on Oct 23 at 15:00 sees the home side enter as marginal favorites. Based on head-to-head records, recent form, and league standings, Al Zawraa has a 38% win probability, the draw is at 35%, and Al Shorta Bagdad has a 27% chance of victory.
Team Form
Al Zawraaโs last five matches show mixed results: L, D, L, W, W. Their most recent Stars League outing was a 0-1 loss away at Ghaz Al Shamal on Oct 18. Before that, a 1-1 draw at Qatar SC in the AGCFF Champions League and a 0-3 defeat at Duhok. Home form has been more reliable, with a 2-0 win over Al Gharraf FC on Sep 17 and a 0-1 away victory at Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Al Shorta Bagdad bring stronger consistency with a D, W, D, W, W run over their last five. They drew 1-1 at home with Al Karkh on Oct 18, won 2-3 at East Bengal in the AFC Champions League Two, and played a 0-0 draw at Al Talaba. Home wins against Al Kahrabaa (2-0) and Al Seeb (1-0) complete a solid spell.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record favors Al Zawraa historically: 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 wins for Al Shorta Bagdad across 11 meetings. However, recent encounters tell a different story. In the last five matches, Al Shorta Bagdad have won three (1-2 on Apr 13, 2026; 1-2 on Feb 26, 2026; 0-1 on Apr 22, 2025), with two draws (0-0 on Feb 8, 2025; 2-2 on Feb 11, 2024). Al Zawraa have not beaten Al Shorta Bagdad in this sample.
League Table Positions
Al Zawraa sit 4th in the Stars League overall with 18 points from 10 matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their home form is excellent: 3rd with 13 points from 5 home games, scoring 11 goals and conceding 0. Al Shorta Bagdad are 6th with 17 points (4 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss). Away, they rank 6th with 7 points from 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. The six-point gap between them and Al Karma (1st, 24 points) adds pressure for both sides.
Win Probability: Al Zawraa or Al Shorta Bagdad?
Al Zawraa has a 38% chance of winning, the draw has a 35% probability, and Al Shorta Bagdad has a 27% chance. These percentages are derived from the available odds (inverse of bookmaker odds, normalized to remove margin) and adjusted for head-to-head trends, Al Zawraaโs strong home defensive record, and Al Shorta Bagdadโs recent unbeaten run. The draw is a significant possibility given Al Shorta Bagdadโs four draws in ten league games and the two stalemates in the last five H2H meetings.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmaker odds present two contrasting views. One bookmaker prices a home win at 3.25, the draw at 1.90, and an away win at 3.30, indicating a strong draw bias. Another quotes 2.50 for Al Zawraa, 3.10 for the draw, and 2.55 for Al Shorta Bagdad, suggesting a more open contest. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw. Al Zawraaโs perfect home defense will be tested by an Al Shorta Bagdad side that has avoided defeat in four of their last five league matches.
Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta Bagdad โ FAQ
- Who will win Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta Bagdad?
- Al Zawraa has a 38% probability of winning, the draw stands at 35%, and Al Shorta Bagdad has a 27% chance. Al Zawraa are marginal favorites, but recent head-to-head results favor the visitors.
- What is the win probability for Al Zawraa?
- Al Zawraa has a 38% win probability. This is based on their strong home record (13 points from 5 games, zero goals conceded) and the overall odds, adjusted for Al Shorta Bagdad's recent form and H2H dominance.
- When is the Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta Bagdad match?
- The match is on Oct 23 at 15:00, part of the Stars League in Iraq. It is a regular-season fixture in the 2026-2027 campaign.
- What are the odds for Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta Bagdad?
- Odds vary among bookmakers. One offers 3.25 for a home win, 1.90 for a draw, and 3.30 for an Al Shorta Bagdad win. Another provides 2.50, 3.10, and 2.55 respectively. The draw is the lowest-priced outcome in the first set, reflecting the expected tightness of the game.