Nasaf Qarshi - Al Wahda Abu Dhabi prediction 14 October 2026

This Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi prediction covers the AFC Champions League Two fixture on Oct 14 at 14:45. Al Wahda Abu Dhabi are the slight favorite with a 35% win probability, while Nasaf Qarshi have a 34% chance and the draw is at 31%.

Team Form

Nasaf Qarshi are in strong recent form with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They beat Dinamo Samarqand 2-1 on Oct 9, won 4-1 at Andijan on Sep 20, drew 0-0 at Al Khalidiyah on Sep 16, beat Bunyodkor 3-0 on Sep 9, and beat Neftchi 6-2 on Sep 4. Their last five results are W, W, D, W, W.

Al Wahda Abu Dhabi have managed three wins and two defeats in the same period. They beat Al Dhafra 2-0 on Oct 9, lost 3-1 at Bani Yas on Oct 1, lost 1-0 at Al Jazira Abu Dhabi on Sep 20, beat Al Kuwait SC 3-2 on Sep 16, and beat Al Sharjah 1-0 on Sep 11. Their last five results are W, L, L, W, W.

Head-to-Head Record

The only listed H2H meeting was on Nov 3, 2025 in the AFC Champions League. Al Wahda Abu Dhabi won 2-1 away at Nasaf Qarshi. The head-to-head record is therefore Nasaf Qarshi 0 wins, Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1 win, and 0 draws.

League Table Positions

In the provided AFC Champions League Two overall standings, Nasaf Qarshi are 10th with 1 point from one match: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 0 goals scored and 0 goals conceded. Al Wahda Abu Dhabi are not present in the provided standings sample, so their exact position is not stated in the data.

Win Probability: Nasaf Qarshi or Al Wahda Abu Dhabi?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record and league table positions, Nasaf Qarshi has a 34% chance of winning, the draw is at 31%, and Al Wahda Abu Dhabi has a 35% chance.

The probability calculation starts from the bookmaker 1X2 odds and removes the margin. The first three bookmakers list Nasaf Qarshi at 3.00–3.25, the draw at 2.22–2.40 and Al Wahda Abu Dhabi at 2.28–2.40; the fourth bookmaker has Al Wahda Abu Dhabi at 1.91. Home advantage and Nasaf Qarshi’s strong domestic form are then used as an adjustment, which closes the gap but does not erase Al Wahda Abu Dhabi’s slight edge.

Conclusion: Al Wahda Abu Dhabi is slightly more likely to win, with only one percentage point separating the two teams.

Odds & Match Prediction

The selected market is 1X2. The recorded odds are:

• Nasaf Qarshi win: 3.00, 3.10, 3.25, 3.20
• Draw: 2.30, 2.40, 2.22, 3.60
• Al Wahda Abu Dhabi win: 2.40, 2.37, 2.28, 1.91

Bookmakers see Al Wahda Abu Dhabi as the favorite at the shortest price of 1.91, although other books keep the away win above 2.28. Our Nasaf Qarshi vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi prediction is Al Wahda Abu Dhabi to win. For safer betting tips, Al Wahda Abu Dhabi or draw looks supported because Nasaf Qarshi have a strong home record and the probability gap is very small.