The AGCFF Champions League match between Qatar SC and Al Zawraa on Oct 13, 2026, at 15:45 is set to be a closely contested affair. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head data, Qatar SC has a 40% win probability, while a draw stands at 30% and Al Zawraa has a 30% chance. This Qatar SC vs Al Zawraa prediction points to a narrow edge for the home side, but the visitors' recent performances make an upset very possible.
Qatar SC's last five matches show inconsistency: a 0-3 home loss to Al Rayyan, a 1-0 home win over Al Bidda SC, a 2-2 away draw with Al Rayyan, a 0-0 away draw at Al Arabi Doha, and a 0-1 away defeat to Al Ahli Doha. That run includes just one win, two draws, and two losses, with only two goals scored in those five games.
Al Zawraa have been far more impressive. Their last five results: a 0-3 away loss to Duhok, a 2-0 home win against Al Gharraf FC, a 1-0 away victory at Al Quwa Al Jawiya, a 1-0 home win over Al Kahrabaa, and a 2-2 away draw at Al Mosul. That's three wins, one draw, and one loss, with the team keeping three clean sheets. Their away form in that stretch reads one win, one draw, and one loss, showing they can compete on the road.
There is no previous head-to-head record between Qatar SC and Al Zawraa. This will be the first ever meeting between the two sides, so no historical data can be used to predict the outcome of this Qatar SC vs Al Zawraa prediction.
We calculated the win probabilities by starting with the bookmakers' odds, removing the margin, and then adjusting for recent form. The average normalized implied probabilities from the two sets of odds gave Qatar SC a 46% chance, the draw 33%, and Al Zawraa 21%. However, Al Zawraa's strong form (three wins in five) and Qatar SC's poor home results (one win in the last two home games, with three goals conceded) lead us to shift the numbers. Our final assessment: Qatar SC has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Al Zawraa has a 30% chance. The match is too close to call with high confidence, but Qatar SC remains the marginal favorite due to home advantage and slightly shorter odds.
Bookmakers see Qatar SC as the favorite. One bookmaker offers odds of 2.05 for a home win, 2.30 for the draw, and 5.00 for an Al Zawraa victory. Another lists 1.82, 3.30, and 3.70 respectively. These odds reflect the expectation of a tight game, with the draw priced relatively low.
Our Qatar SC vs Al Zawraa prediction: based on the stats, the most likely single outcome is a narrow Qatar SC win, but the probabilities suggest a draw or an away win are equally plausible. A 1-1 scoreline or a 1-0 either way would fit the data. Given Al Zawraa's solid defensive record in recent matches, betting on under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering.