Alafoss - Hafnir prediction 10 September 2026

The Alafoss vs Hafnir prediction for this 4th Division match on Sep 10 at 19:45 points to a tight contest. Based on available odds and recent form, Alafoss enters as the favorite with a 44% win probability, while Hafnir has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 26%.

Team Form

Alafoss has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches (W, L, L, L, W). Their most recent result was a strong 4-0 away victory against Ulfarnir on Sep 03, but they suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat at Hamar Hveragerdi on Aug 27. At home, they lost 4-0 to Vaengir Jupiters on Aug 20.

Hafnir's recent form is poor, recording one win and four losses in their last five outings (L, W, L, L, L). They lost 3-1 at home to Vaengir Jupiters on Sep 03. Their only positive result in this stretch was a 3-2 away win against Ellidi on Aug 14. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 16 goals in these five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, in a Cup match on Jul 25, 2023. Hafnir won that encounter 4-2 away from home. Alafoss has 0 wins, Hafnir has 1 win, and there have been 0 draws in their head-to-head history.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Iceland 4th Division. While exact league table positions and points are not available in the current data, the recent form suggests both sides are likely in the lower half of the standings, making this a crucial match for gaining momentum.

Win Probability: Alafoss or Hafnir?

Alafoss has a 44% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Hafnir has a 30% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.91, draw 3.00, away 3.10), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then slightly adjusted for Alafoss's home advantage and Hafnir's poor recent defensive record. Alafoss is more likely to win, but the match is far from a certainty.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Alafoss as the favorite. The best available odds are 1.91 for a home win, 3.00 for the draw, and 3.10 for an away win. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with home odds ranging from 1.93 to 2.10. Based on the stats, Alafoss has the edge, but Hafnir's previous H2H win adds a note of caution. A home win is the most probable outcome, but betting tips would highlight the value in the draw given both teams' inconsistent form.