HPS Women - Aland United Women prediction 26 September 2026

Our HPS Women vs Aland United Women prediction for this Kansallinen Liga Women fixture on Sep 26 at 12:00 focuses on which team has the edge. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and available stats, HPS Women enters as a slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Aland United Women holds a 35% chance and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

HPS Women come into this match with a steady run of results: D, W, D, W, D in their last five outings. They drew 0-0 away at KuPs Kuopion Palloseura Women on Sep 19, beat IF Gnistan Women 3-1 away on Sep 12, and drew 1-1 at home against HJK Helsinki Women in the Cup on Sep 6. Their home form includes a 1-0 win over Tampereen Ilves Women and a 3-3 draw with HJK Helsinki Women.

Aland United Women have posted W, L, L, W, W in their last five matches. They won 3-2 away at Tampereen Ilves Women on Sep 19, lost 0-2 at home to KuPs Kuopion Palloseura Women on Sep 13, and lost 2-1 away at HJK Helsinki Women on Aug 29. Their away wins include a 3-2 victory at IF Gnistan Women and a 2-1 win at this very opponent, HPS Women, on Aug 16.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is perfectly balanced: 4 wins for HPS Women, 4 draws, and 4 wins for Aland United Women. The most recent meeting on Aug 16, 2026 saw Aland United Women win 2-1 at home. Before that, on Jun 28, 2026, they played a 0-0 draw. HPS Women won the two prior encounters: 1-0 at home on Apr 25, 2026 and 2-1 at home on Oct 18, 2025. Goals have been a regular feature, with both teams scoring in three of the last five H2H matches.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions for HPS Women and Aland United Women are not available in the current standings data. The provided table only includes the leader, HJK Helsinki Women, with 39 points from 14 matches. Without full standings, we rely on form and H2H to assess the teams' relative strength.

Win Probability: HPS Women or Aland United Women?

HPS Women has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Aland United Women has a 35% chance. This calculation is based on the balanced head-to-head record (4-4-4), HPS Women's unbeaten run in four of their last five (W2 D3), and Aland United Women's inconsistent away form (W2 L2 in recent road games). Home advantage gives HPS Women a slight edge, but Aland United's recent 2-1 win in this fixture keeps the probabilities close.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available in the data for this match. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see HPS Women as a marginal favorite. Our HPS Women vs Aland United Women prediction is a tightly contested match, with HPS Women having a slightly higher chance of securing the win. A draw is a realistic outcome given the teams' history.