Albirex Niigata Women - Cerezo Osaka Women prediction 4 October 2026

The Albirex Niigata Women vs Cerezo Osaka Women prediction for October 4, 2026, points to a tight WE League Women contest. Kick-off is at 05:00, and based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head stats, Albirex Niigata Women enter as slight favorites with a 42% win probability, while the draw sits at 27% and Cerezo Osaka Women hold a 31% chance.

Team Form

Albirex Niigata Women come into this match with a mixed run of results: D, W, L, L, L in their last five outings. Their most recent fixture ended 1-1 at home against Urawa Red Diamonds Women on Sep 27. Before that, they beat Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women 3-1 away, but suffered three consecutive defeats to Vegalta Sendai Women (0-1), Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women (1-3), and Omiya Ardija Ventus Women (1-2).

Cerezo Osaka Women's last five results read L, W, W, L, L. They lost 1-4 at home to Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women on Sep 27, following a 3-0 home win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women and a 1-0 away victory at Parceiro Nagano Women. Earlier defeats came against Elfen Saitama Women (2-3) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women (0-1).

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time head-to-head record heavily favors Albirex Niigata Women, who have won 10 of the 17 meetings, with 1 draw and 6 Cerezo Osaka Women victories. In the last five clashes, the results are evenly split: Albirex won 2, Cerezo won 2, and 1 draw. The most recent encounter on Aug 23, 2026, ended 1-1 at Cerezo Osaka. At home, Albirex have been particularly strong, winning 10 of the 17 H2H matches played at their ground.

League Table Positions

Both sides are locked on 4 points after 3 matches in the WE League Women standings. Cerezo Osaka Women sit 4th with a +1 goal difference (4 scored, 3 conceded), while Albirex Niigata Women are 5th with an even goal difference (5 scored, 5 conceded). At home, Albirex have a perfect record: 1 win from 1 game, scoring 3 and conceding 2. Cerezo Osaka Women also boast a 100% away record, winning their only road fixture 3-1.

Win Probability: Albirex Niigata Women or Cerezo Osaka Women?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds (home 2.25, draw 3.30, away 2.75) and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head dominance, the win probabilities are: Albirex Niigata Women 42%, draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka Women 31%. The home side's historical edge in this fixture and their solid home form give them a slight advantage, but Cerezo Osaka Women's perfect away record this season and the balanced recent H2H results keep the match finely poised.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers see Albirex Niigata Women as the favorites at 2.25, with the draw priced at 3.30 and an away win at 2.75. These odds reflect a competitive matchup where any outcome is possible. Based on the stats, the most likely result is a narrow home win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the teams' identical points and recent inconsistency. Our Albirex Niigata Women vs Cerezo Osaka Women prediction: Albirex Niigata Women to edge it, but with caution.