Albirex Niigata Women - Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women prediction 24 October 2026

The Albirex Niigata Women vs Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women prediction for October 24, 2026, in the WE League Women points to a tight contest. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head stats, Albirex Niigata Women hold a 40% win probability, while the draw stands at 35% and Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women at 25%.

Team Form

Albirex Niigata Women's last five matches: D, L, L, D, W. They drew 0-0 at home to Parceiro Nagano on Oct 17, lost 0-1 away to Elfen Saitama on Oct 12, lost 1-2 at home to Cerezo Osaka on Oct 4, drew 1-1 at home to Urawa Red Diamonds on Sep 27, and won 3-1 away at Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza on Sep 23. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in this period, showing inconsistency.

Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women's last five: W, W, L, D, W. They beat Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 at home on Oct 18, defeated Nojima Stella 3-1 at home on Oct 10, lost 1-2 away to Elfen Saitama on Oct 4, drew 1-1 away at Omiya Ardija on Sep 27, and won 3-2 at home against INAC Leonessa on Sep 23. With 10 goals scored and 7 conceded, they are in better attacking form but vulnerable defensively on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record across 23 matches shows Albirex Niigata Women with 7 wins, Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women with 2 wins, and 14 draws. The last five encounters: Nov 8, 2025 – Albirex 1-0 Jef United (WE League); Sep 6, 2025 – Jef United 0-1 Albirex (WE League); May 11, 2025 – Jef United 0-1 Albirex (WE League); Mar 20, 2024 – Jef United 0-0 Albirex (League Cup); Apr 22, 2023 – Albirex 2-2 Jef United (League Cup). Albirex have won the last three league meetings by identical 1-0 scorelines, highlighting their defensive edge in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the WE League Women standings, Albirex Niigata Women are 8th with 5 points (1W,2D,1L, GF 5:5), while Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women sit 6th with 6 points (2W,0D,2L, GF 6:6). The home table shows Albirex 5th with 4 points from 2 home games (1W,1D, GF 3:2), unbeaten at home. Jef United's away form is not ranked in the top 8, with only 1 away match played – a 1-2 loss to Elfen Saitama – indicating travel struggles.

Win Probability: Albirex Niigata Women or Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women?

Bookmakers' odds of 2.60 (home), 2.10 (draw), and 4.33 (away) imply probabilities of 35.2%, 43.6%, and 21.2% after removing the margin. However, adjusting for Albirex's dominant recent H2H (three straight 1-0 wins) and solid home record, we assign a 40% win probability to Albirex Niigata Women, a 35% chance for the draw, and 25% for Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women. Therefore, Albirex Niigata Women are the more likely winners, though the draw remains a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current odds are: Albirex Niigata Women win 2.60, draw 2.10, Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women win 4.33. Bookmakers see the draw as the most probable outcome, reflecting the 14 draws in 23 H2H meetings. Our Albirex Niigata Women vs Jef United Ichihara Chiba Women prediction: based on the stats, Albirex to win narrowly, with a 1-0 scoreline a strong possibility. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market looks attractive given the low-scoring history of this fixture.