Aldosivi - CA Sarmiento prediction 11 October 2026

Our Aldosivi vs CA Sarmiento prediction for the Primera Division match on October 11, 2026, at 21:00 local time points to an away victory. CA Sarmiento enter the game as clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while Aldosivi have just a 20% chance and the draw is rated at 25%.

Team Form

Aldosivi's recent form has been patchy, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches:

• Oct 9: Aldosivi 1-3 CA Sarmiento (L)
• Oct 4: CA Huracan 1-0 Aldosivi (L)
• Sep 21: Aldosivi 1-0 Atletico Tucuman (W)
• Sep 12: Independiente Rivadavia 4-3 Aldosivi (L)
• Sep 5: Aldosivi 3-1 Banfield (W)

CA Sarmiento have been inconsistent as well, recording two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings:

• Oct 9: Aldosivi 1-3 CA Sarmiento (W)
• Sep 19: Racing Club Avellaneda 3-1 CA Sarmiento (L)
• Sep 13: CA Sarmiento 1-1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba (D)
• Sep 4: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-2 CA Sarmiento (W)
• Aug 28: Union de Santa Fe 4-1 CA Sarmiento (L)

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors CA Sarmiento. In 10 previous meetings, Aldosivi have failed to win a single match, with 1 draw and 9 wins for CA Sarmiento. The most recent encounter was just two days ago on October 9, 2026, where CA Sarmiento secured a comfortable 3-1 away victory. This historical dominance is a key factor in our prediction.

League Table Positions

Aldosivi are currently outside the top 12 in the Primera Division overall standings, indicating a difficult season. CA Sarmiento are also not in the top 12 overall but have shown stronger home form, sitting 4th in the home table with 16 points from 8 games. Their away performances have been less consistent, but they still hold a clear advantage over Aldosivi based on the table and recent results.

Win Probability: Aldosivi or CA Sarmiento?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Aldosivi win: 20%
• Draw: 25%
• CA Sarmiento win: 55%

The calculation uses the inverse of implied odds from historical data, adjusted for team form and home advantage. CA Sarmiento's 90% win rate in head-to-head meetings (9 wins in 10 games) is the strongest indicator, while Aldosivi's home wins against Atletico Tucuman and Banfield give them a small chance. However, the recent 3-1 defeat to the same opponent just days ago suggests that CA Sarmiento are the likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available at the time of writing. Nevertheless, based on the statistics, CA Sarmiento are the clear favorites to win. Our prediction is a CA Sarmiento victory, likely with a margin of one or two goals, given their recent head-to-head success and Aldosivi's defensive struggles.