Ashton United - Alfreton Town prediction 13 October 2026
Ashton United
Alfreton TownAshton United
Redcar AthleticAvroAshton UnitedAshton UnitedRedcar AthleticAshton UnitedAlfreton TownLeek TownAshton UnitedQuorn FCAshton UnitedBuxtonAshton UnitedAshton UnitedCleethorpes TownCurzon AshtonAshton UnitedAshton UnitedGainsborough TrinityAshton UnitedIlkeston TownAFC EmleyAshton UnitedAshton UnitedWhitby TownBamber BridgeAshton UnitedStockton TownAshton UnitedMickleover SportsAlfreton TownAlfreton TownWarrington TownAshton UnitedAlfreton TownAlfreton TownBuryAlfreton TownFC United of ManchesterRedcar AthleticAlfreton TownAlfreton TownGuiseleyAlfreton TownShifnal TownBamber BridgeAlfreton TownAlfreton TownStratford TownWhitby TownAlfreton TownAlfreton TownWarrington RylandsAlfreton TownHydeStockton TownAlfreton TownCleethorpes TownAlfreton TownAshton UnitedAlfreton TownAlfreton TownAshton UnitedAlfreton TownAshton UnitedAshton UnitedAlfreton TownAshton UnitedAlfreton Town| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 31:17 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37:27 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 22:37 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:28 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  FC United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:34 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10:34 | -24 | 10 |
Ashton United vs Alfreton Town Prediction (Oct 13)
Ashton United vs Alfreton Town prediction for the Northern Premier League fixture on Oct 13 at 19:45. Our analysis gives Alfreton Town a strong 55% chance to win, while a draw stands at 25% and Ashton United has just a 20% probability. This is based on the latest stats, league positions, and head-to-head dominance.
Team Form
Ashton United are struggling badly. They are winless in their last five matches (D2, L3), with draws against Leek Town and Quorn FC followed by defeats to Buxton, Cleethorpes Town, and Curzon Ashton. Their home form is equally poor โ a loss to Cleethorpes stands out as the most recent home outing.
Alfreton Townโs recent results are much more encouraging. In their last five, theyโve posted three wins (over FC United of Manchester, Guiseley, and Shifnal Town in the FA Trophy) and two narrow losses (to Bury and Redcar Athletic). This W3-L2 form shows they can get results even away from home.
Head-to-Head Record
Alfreton Town holds a perfect record against Ashton United, having won all four previous meetings. Each of those matches ended 2-0 in favour of Alfreton, including two away wins at Ashton Unitedโs ground in December 2018. The head-to-head clearly favours the visitors.
League Table Positions
Looking at the Northern Premier League standings, Alfreton Town are 11th with 18 points (6 wins, 0 draws, 7 losses). Ashton United are not in the top 12, pointing to a significantly lower position. Alfreton also have the 2nd-best home record in the division, but here they play away โ still, their overall class is higher.
Win Probability: Ashton United or Alfreton Town?
We calculate the match outcome probabilities based on odds, form, and head-to-head data. Bookmakersโ opening odds implied a tight contest, but after factoring in Alfretonโs dominant H2H and Ashtonโs dreadful run, the picture shifts. The final probability breakdown is:
- Ashton United win: 20%
- Draw: 25%
- Alfreton Town win: 55%
Alfreton Town is clearly the more likely winner. Their perfect H2H, better recent form, and superior league position justify the high 55% win chance, while Ashtonโs lack of wins makes them the underdog.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers initially set odds around 3.00 for an Ashton United victory, 2.30 for the draw, and 3.00 for an Alfreton Town win. Later lines moved, with some bookies offering 2.42 for both sides and 3.35 for the draw. Despite the marketโs initial balance, our analysis suggests value on the away win. Based on all available stats, we predict an Alfreton Town victory.
Ashton United vs Alfreton Town โ FAQ
- Who will win Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
- Alfreton Town has a 55% win probability, a draw is at 25%, and Ashton United has a 20% chance. Alfreton's perfect head-to-head record (4 wins from 4) and better form make them the favourites.
- What is the win probability for Alfreton Town?
- Alfreton Town has a 55% chance to win. This is boosted by their 100% record in previous meetings against Ashton United and a much stronger league position.
- When is the Ashton United vs Alfreton Town match?
- The match kicks off on Oct 13 at 19:45 local time. It is a Northern Premier League fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers currently show odds of 3.00 for an Ashton United win, 2.30 for the draw, and 3.00 for an Alfreton Town win. Some markets have since adjusted to 2.42 for either side and 3.35 for the draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between these teams?
- Alfreton Town have won all four previous meetings, each by a 2-0 scoreline. This includes two victories at Ashton Unitedโs ground.