Alftanes - Ellidi prediction 10 September 2026
Alftanes
Ellidi
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Team Form
Alftanes is in devastating form, winning their last five matches and scoring an incredible 40 goals while conceding only three. Their latest result was a 4-2 away victory at Arborg on Sep 2. Earlier outings include a 16-0 home demolition of IH Hafnarfjordur and a 10-0 thrashing of Ulfarnir, underlining their superiority.
Ellidi, in contrast, has not won in five outings (0W-4D-1L). Their most recent match was a 1-1 home draw against Hamar Hveragerdi on Sep 3. The team has drawn three consecutive games but lacks the cutting edge that Alftanes possesses.
Head-to-Head Record
Over their last five meetings, Alftanes has won three, Ellidi one, with one draw. The most recent encounter on Jul 1, 2026, saw Alftanes cruise to a 5-2 away win. The earlier results from 2025 show a 3-1 Ellidi win and a 1-0 Alftanes victory, while the 2020 matches produced a 5-1 Alftanes win and a 0-0 draw. Alftanes has consistently outscored Ellidi, especially in recent clashes.
Win Probability: Alftanes or Ellidi?
Based on the available odds and current form, we calculate an 80% probability for an Alftanes win. The draw sits at 15%, and Ellidiโs chances are just 5%. The bookmaker odds (1.25 home, 4.50 draw, 17.00 away) imply a 74% home win probability after removing the margin, but Alftanesโ perfect five-match winning streak and the 5-2 head-to-head win push that figure higher. Home advantage and Ellidiโs winless run make a home victory by far the most likely outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers heavily favor Alftanes. One bookmaker prices a home win at 1.25, the draw at 4.50, and an away win at 17.00. A second bookmaker even offers 1.07 for the home team, 9.45 the draw, and 14.50 for Ellidi. These odds reflect the massive gap between the sides.
Based on the stats, Alftanes should win this match comfortably. With their free-scoring attack and Ellidiโs defensive frailties, a bet on Alftanes to win and over 2.5 goals appears well supported by the data.
Alftanes vs Ellidi โ FAQ
- Who will win Alftanes vs Ellidi?
- Alftanes is the strong favorite with an 80% win probability, while a draw is at 15% and Ellidi has just a 5% chance. The home sideโs perfect recent form and dominant head-to-head record make an Alftanes victory the clear prediction.
- What is the win probability for Alftanes?
- Alftanes has an 80% chance of winning. This is driven by their five-match winning streak, a 5-2 head-to-head win in July 2026, and bookmaker odds as low as 1.07 for a home victory.
- When is the Alftanes vs Ellidi match?
- The match takes place on Sep 10, 2026, at 19:15 local time. It is part of the Icelandic 4th Division.
- What are the odds for the match?
- One bookmaker lists the odds as Alftanes 1.25, Draw 4.50, and Ellidi 17.00. Another bookmaker offers even shorter odds on the home win at 1.07, with the draw at 9.45 and Ellidi at 14.50.