CD FAS - Alianza FC El Salvador prediction 9 October 2026

The CD FAS vs Alianza FC El Salvador prediction for October 9, 2026, in the Primera Division sees CD FAS as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability. The match kicks off at 02:30, and bookmakers heavily back the home side based on superior league form and a strong away head-to-head record for Alianza.

Team Form

CD FAS come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings, recording two wins and three draws. Their recent results include a 1-1 home draw against CD Inca on Oct 5 and a 3-1 away victory at Municipal Limeno on Sep 28. Alianza FC El Salvador have one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five. They drew 2-2 at home with Luis Angel Firpo on Oct 4 and beat CD Platense Zacatecoluca 2-1 on Oct 1. CD FAS appear more consistent, while Alianza have struggled to turn draws into wins.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 26 meetings, Alianza FC El Salvador lead with 12 wins to CD FAS's 6, alongside 8 draws. The most recent clash on Sep 13, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw at CD FAS. Before that, Alianza lost 0-2 at home on Apr 12, 2026, and 1-3 on Feb 15, 2026. Historically, Alianza have the edge, but CD FAS have won the last two encounters, suggesting a shift in momentum.

League Table Positions

CD FAS sit 3rd in the overall Primera Division table with 24 points from 12 matches (7 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Alianza FC El Salvador are 6th with 18 points from 12 matches (4 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses). At home, CD FAS are 5th with 11 points from 5 games and remain unbeaten. Alianza are 8th in the away table with just 5 points from 5 road trips, managing only 1 win. The 6-point gap and home advantage strongly favor CD FAS.

Win Probability: CD FAS or Alianza FC El Salvador?

Based on the latest odds, league positions, and recent form, we calculate the following win probabilities: CD FAS has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Alianza FC El Salvador has a 20% chance. The odds imply a home win probability around 57% after removing the bookmaker margin, but Alianza's poor away form (1 win in 5) and CD FAS's unbeaten home record adjust that slightly downward. The draw gets a boost from both teams' recent sequences of stalemates. CD FAS are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see CD FAS as the favorite, with best home win odds of 1.73, while the draw is priced at 2.15 and an Alianza away win at 5.50. These betting tips reflect CD FAS's higher table position and strong home performances. Our CD FAS vs Alianza FC El Salvador prediction is a home win, but the value may lie in the draw given Alianza's resilience and the history of 8 draws in 26 H2H matches. Based on the stats, a low-scoring match is likely.