Alianza FC Panama Reserves - Chorrillo prediction 26 October 2026

Alianza FC Panama Reserves vs Chorrillo prediction: Chorrillo is the favourite for this Liga Prom match on Oct 26 at 23:00. Based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data, Chorrillo has about a 44% win probability, the draw is around 32%, and Alianza FC Panama Reserves is at 24%.

Team Form

Alianza FC Panama Reserves enter this match with a shaky recent run of L, W, D, D, L in their last five results. They lost 1–4 at home to Plaza Amador Reserves on Oct 22 and lost 3–1 at Champions Academy on Sep 25. Their positives include a 1–0 win at San Martin FC on Oct 16 and a 0–0 draw with UMECIT Reserves on Oct 2. The home side have failed to score in two of their last five matches.

Chorrillo have been stronger, with W, W, L, W, W in their last five results. They beat San Martin FC 3–1 at home on Oct 21, won 2–1 at Tauro FC Reserves on Oct 8 and won 3–0 at home against UMECIT Reserves on Sep 26. Their only recent loss was a 2–1 away defeat at Panama City on Oct 3. Chorrillo have scored in every one of their last five matches and have scored two or more goals in four of them.

Head-to-Head Record

Across the last five meetings, there have been 1 Alianza FC Panama Reserves win, 3 draws and 1 Chorrillo win. The most recent H2H match ended 0–0 on Aug 6, 2026. In the two meetings hosted by Alianza FC Panama Reserves, both finished 2–2, with four total goals in each. Chorrillo won 4–0 at home on Oct 2, 2025, and Alianza FC Panama Reserves won 2–0 at Chorrillo on Apr 30, 2026.

Win Probability: Alianza FC Panama Reserves or Chorrillo?

Alianza FC Panama Reserves has a 24% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Chorrillo has a 44% chance. These probabilities start from the inverse of the 1X2 odds and are normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for recent form and the draw-heavy H2H record.

Chorrillo’s stronger recent form and lower away odds make them the more likely match outcome. However, the H2H record includes three draws in five meetings, so the draw is also a clear possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are: home 3.80, draw 2.30, away 2.20 from one bookmaker, and home 3.50, draw 3.60, away 1.83 from another. The away price of 1.83 from the second bookmaker is the shortest price in the market, and bookmakers generally see Chorrillo as the favourite. The draw odds range from 2.30 to 3.60, reflecting the competitive head-to-head history.

Final prediction: based on the stats, Chorrillo win is the most probable outcome, but the draw carries value because Alianza FC Panama Reserves and Chorrillo have drawn three of five previous meetings. As a betting tip, the safest match outcome based on the odds and form is a Chorrillo win, with the draw as the main alternative.