Alianza Universidad Huanuco - Carlos A. Mannucci prediction 17 October 2026

The Carlos A. Mannucci vs Alianza Universidad Huanuco prediction points to a home victory, with Carlos A. Mannucci holding a 52% win probability in this Segunda Division clash at Estadio Mansiche on Oct 13. The bookmakers also see the hosts as clear favorites, and their strong home form backs up that assessment.

Team Form

Carlos A. Mannucci come into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results read D, W, W, W, D. They're coming off a 0-0 draw at Bentin Tacna Heroica on Oct 8, but before that they demolished Universidad San Martin 7-0 at home on Sep 26 and beat Molinos El Pirata 4-2 away on Sep 7.

Alianza Universidad Huanuco's recent form is much less convincing. Their last five results show L, D, D, D, L. They lost 2-1 at Universidad San Martin on Oct 6, drew 2-2 at home with Bentin Tacna Heroica on Sep 27, and also suffered a 3-0 loss at CD Estudiantil CNI on Aug 29. They are struggling with consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, this matchup has been tightly contested. Across six previous meetings, Carlos A. Mannucci have 1 win, Alianza Universidad Huanuco have 1 win, and 4 matches have ended in draws.

The most recent encounter was on Sep 18, 2021, when Carlos A. Mannucci hosted Alianza Universidad Huanuco in the Primera Division, and the match ended 1-1. Before that, on Aug 19, 2020, Carlos A. Mannucci secured a 1-0 away win. Two other matches in 2019 finished goalless, and a 2019 fixture saw Alianza Universidad Huanuco win 3-0 at home. The record underlines how evenly matched these sides have been, with draws being the most common outcome.

League Table Positions

Carlos A. Mannucci sit 2nd in the Segunda Division overall standings with 30 points from 16 games (9 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 22 goals and conceded only 12. At home, they are 3rd, with an impressive 19 points from 8 matches, having scored 11 and conceded just 2.

Alianza Universidad Huanuco are 10th overall with 21 points from 16 matches (5 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses), scoring 18 and conceding 18. Away from home, they are 5th with 10 points from 8 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8. The table gap is significant — 9 points and 8 places separate them — and underlines Carlos A. Mannucci's superiority this season.

Win Probability: Carlos A. Mannucci or Alianza Universidad Huanuco?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, the win probabilities for this match are calculated as follows: Carlos A. Mannucci has a 52% chance of winning, the draw has a 26% chance, and Alianza Universidad Huanuco has a 22% chance. These percentages were derived by taking the inverse of the bookmaker odds, normalizing them to remove the margin, and adjusting for the home side's superior form and high table position versus the visitors' poor recent run and draw-heavy H2H history. The hosts' formidable home defensive record (just 2 goals conceded) is a deciding factor.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have Carlos A. Mannucci as the clear favorite. The 1X2 odds show the home win priced as low as 1.75, with the draw around 2.15 to 3.50, and an away win as high as 4.03. These odds strongly reflect the gap in quality and form between the two sides.

Based on the stats, a home win looks the most likely outcome. Carlos A. Mannucci's strong home performances — including a 7-0 win and a 2-0 win in their last two at Estadio Mansiche — stand in stark contrast to Alianza Universidad Huanuco's struggles, which include a 3-0 away defeat. While the head-to-head record shows a pattern of draws, the current form and league positions suggest Carlos A. Mannucci should claim victory.