Deportivo Moron - All Boys prediction 3 October 2026

The Deportivo Moron vs All Boys prediction for October 3, 2026, points to a home victory in Argentina's Primera Nacional. Based on our win probability analysis, Deportivo Moron has a 50% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 35% and All Boys at 15%. The match kicks off at 19:00 local time.

Team Form

Deportivo Moron's recent form reads L, L, W, W, W. They suffered back-to-back defeats against Los Andes (2-1 away) and Godoy Cruz (1-2 at home) but bounced back with three consecutive wins: 2-1 at Racing Cordoba, 2-1 at Colon de Santa Fe, and 2-1 at home against CA San Miguel. The team has scored in each of their last five matches.

All Boys come into this game with a D, D, L, W, D record. They drew 0-0 at home with Colon de Santa Fe, 1-1 away at CA San Miguel, lost 0-1 at home to San Telmo, won 1-0 away at Acassuso, and drew 0-0 at home with Chaco For Ever. Goals have been scarce, with only two scored in their last five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favors Deportivo Moron: 5 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 win for All Boys. The last five meetings show a mixed recent trend. All Boys won the most recent clash 1-0 at home in May 2026, but Deportivo Moron won 2-0 away in May 2023, and the other three matches ended in draws (0-0 in September 2023 and two 0-0 draws in May 2022).

League Table Positions

Deportivo Moron sits 3rd in the Primera Nacional overall standings with 55 points from 31 matches (16 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses). They have been particularly strong at home, ranked 3rd in the home table with 36 points from 15 games (11 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), scoring 29 goals and conceding only 10. All Boys are not among the top 12 teams in the overall table, and their away form is not listed in the top 8, indicating a struggle on the road.

Win Probability: Deportivo Moron or All Boys?

After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Deportivo Moron 50%, draw 35%, All Boys 15%. Bookmakers' odds initially implied a draw probability of around 50%, but Deportivo Moron's outstanding home record (73% win rate) and historical dominance in this fixture push their chances significantly higher. All Boys' lack of goals and poor away performances make an away win unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from one bookmaker show Deportivo Moron at 2.50, the draw at 1.83, and All Boys at 7.00. Other odds range from 1.75 to 2.45 for a home win, 1.82 to 3.25 for the draw, and 5.25 to 7.00 for an away win. While the market sees the draw as the favorite, our analysis points to a home win. Based on the stats, Deportivo Moron are the more likely winners, and a 2-1 or 1-0 victory is a realistic outcome.