Almeria - Burgos CF prediction 3 October 2026
Almeria
Burgos CFAlmeria
Real OviedoReal Sociedad BAlmeriaAlmeriaLeganesAlmeriaBurgos CFMallorcaAlmeriaAlmeriaCelta Vigo BCordoba CFAlmeriaAlmeriaCadizSabadellAlmeriaTenerifeAlmeriaAlmeriaEldenseAlmeriaCordoba CFAl Nassr RiyadhAlmeriaReal BetisAlmeriaGranada CFAlmeriaFC AndorraBurgos CFBurgos CFSabadellBurgos CFGranada CFAlmeriaBurgos CFBurgos CFEldenseLas PalmasBurgos CFBurgos CFAD CeutaReal OviedoBurgos CFBurgos CFReal Sociedad BSporting GijonBurgos CFBurgos CFCordoba CFBurgos CFCultural LeonesaBurgos CFAthletic BilbaoUnionistas SalamancaBurgos CFBurgos CFAthletic Bilbao B- 21ChumiD
- 12Lรฉo BaptistรฃoM
- 15Leonardo LeloD
- 11Sergio ArribasM
- 1Andrรฉs FernรกndezG
- 17B. CipengaM
- 18F. BoniniD
- 2Marcos LunaD
- 9ThalysF
- 14Javi MuรฑozM
- 6Mikel VesgaM
- 10Nico Melamed
- 7Jon Morcillo
- 22D. Chirino
- 31ร. Yaakobishvili
- 33Quim Junyent
- 13Fernando Martรญnez
- 3รlex Muรฑoz
- 20รlex Sola
- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 23Adri Embarba
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 26K. Kone
- 16Curro SรกnchezF
- 15Oier LuengoD
- 12Unai VencedorM
- 7Jon KarrikaburuF
- 22Brais MartรญnezD
- 23Alberto DadieD
- 19Javi LlabrรฉsM
- 14David GonzรกlezM
- 18Saรบl del CerroD
- 13Ander CanteroG
- 20Josรฉ GrageraM
- 3Ignasi Vilarrasa
- 9รlex Forรฉs
- 21Fermin Garcia
- 17Mario Cantero
- 2รlex
- 24S. Lencinas
- 30M. Monedero
- 35D. Gonzalez
- 11Vรญctor Mollejo
- 36I. Martinez
- 4P. Galdames
- 19'EventMikel Vesga
AlmeriaBurgos CFBurgos CFAlmeriaAlmeriaBurgos CFBurgos CFAlmeriaBurgos CFAlmeriaAlmeriaBurgos CF| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellon | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:4 | +18 | 26 |
| 2 | Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Girona | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:10 | +12 | 21 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Real Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Burgos CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eldense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |  Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 |  Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo B | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 |  Leganes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 |  Cadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad B | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 4 |
Almeria vs Burgos CF Prediction (Oct 3)
Almeria vs Burgos CF prediction for the Segunda match on Oct 3, 2026. Our analysis gives Almeria a 62% chance to win, with the draw at 23% and Burgos CF at 15%. The game kicks off at 15:15 at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterrรกneos.
Team Form
Almeria come into this match with four wins from their last five outings (W, W, W, W, L). They beat Mallorca (0-1), Celta Vigo B (2-0), Cordoba CF (0-2), and Cadiz (3-2), with the only setback a 1-0 loss at Sabadell. At home, Almeria have a perfect record this season: three wins, eight goals scored, and just two conceded.
Burgos CF are unbeaten in their last five matches (W, W, W, D, D). They defeated Eldense (1-0), Las Palmas (1-2), and AD Ceuta (3-1), and drew with Real Oviedo (0-0) and Real Sociedad B (2-2). On the road, Burgos have one win, one draw, and one loss in their three away fixtures.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last five meetings, both sides have won twice with one draw. The most recent clash ended 0-0 at Burgos CF in May 2026. At this venue, Almeria lost 1-2 to Burgos in December 2025 but won 2-0 in November 2021.
League Table Positions
Almeria sit 5th in the Segunda standings with 12 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Burgos CF are 7th with 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Almeriaโs home form is flawlessโ3 wins from 3โwhile Burgosโ away record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss.
Win Probability: Almeria or Burgos CF?
Based on the available odds (1.66 home, 3.90 draw, 6.00 away), the implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin are 58.7% for an Almeria win, 25.0% for a draw, and 16.3% for a Burgos CF win. We adjust these figures to reflect Almeriaโs perfect home record and Burgosโ mixed away form. Our final win probabilities are:
- Almeria win: 62%
- Draw: 23%
- Burgos CF win: 15%
Almeria are the clear favorites, but Burgosโ recent unbeaten run adds some uncertainty.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Almeria as the strong favorite, with average odds around 1.62 for a home win. The draw is priced at approximately 2.20, and an away win for Burgos CF at 4.75. Based on the stats, Almeriaโs home strength and league position make them the most likely winners. Our prediction: Almeria to win.
Almeria vs Burgos CF โ FAQ
- Who will win Almeria vs Burgos CF?
- Almeria have a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Burgos CF have a 15% chance. Almeria are the most likely winners based on their perfect home record and higher league position.
- What is the win probability for Almeria?
- Almeriaโs win probability is 62%. This is driven by their three home wins this season, strong recent form (four wins in five), and the odds implying a 58.7% chance before adjustments.
- When is the Almeria vs Burgos CF match?
- The match takes place on Oct 3, 2026, at 15:15 local time. It is a Segunda fixture held at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterrรกneos in Almeria, Spain.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 1.62 for an Almeria win, 2.20 for a draw, and 4.75 for a Burgos CF victory. Some bookies have the home win as low as 1.62 and the draw as high as 3.90.