Club Almagro Reserves - Almirante Brown Reserves prediction 24 September 2026

The Club Almagro Reserves vs Almirante Brown Reserves prediction for September 24, 2026 in Argentina’s Primera Nacional Reserve League sees a draw as the standout result. Based on the latest form and head-to-head data, the probability of the match ending all square is significantly higher than either team taking three points.

Team Form

Club Almagro Reserves come into this fixture without a win in their last five outings (L, D, D, D, D). Their most recent match was a 0-1 home defeat to CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve on September 17. Earlier draws include a 1-1 at CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves, a goalless home stalemate with CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve, and consecutive 2-2 and 1-1 draws away and at home. They have scored just 4 goals and conceded 5 in this period, highlighting a lack of cutting edge.

Almirante Brown Reserves are also in a run of draws: D, D, D, L, D in their last five. Their last fixture on September 3 ended 0-0 at home against CA Atlanta Reserves. Before that, they played out two 0-0 draws away to Deportivo Moron Reserves and at home to Acassuso Reserves, a 0-1 loss at Tristan Suarez Reserves, and another 0-0 draw at home to Defensores de Belgrano Reserves. They have scored only once in these five matches, conceding twice, showing even greater offensive struggles.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met once before in this competition, on June 17, 2025. Almirante Brown Reserves won that encounter 2-0 at home, giving them a 1-0 edge in the head-to-head record. That result suggests Almirante Brown Reserves may have a psychological advantage, but with only one match played, the sample size is limited.

League Table Positions

Neither Club Almagro Reserves nor Almirante Brown Reserves feature in the top 12 of the Primera Nacional Reserve League table. The supplied standings are dominated by teams like Velez Sarsfield Reserves (32 points) and Boca Juniors Reserves (27 points). With both competitors absent from the upper echelons, it is fair to assume they reside in the mid-to-lower part of the table, which aligns with their inconsistent form.

Win Probability: Club Almagro Reserves or Almirante Brown Reserves?

Our calculated win probabilities, based on bookmaker odds and recent performances, are as follows:

Club Almagro Reserves win: 30%
Draw: 45%
Almirante Brown Reserves win: 25%

The draw holds the highest probability, reflecting the odds (draw priced around 2.00) and both teams’ extreme draw-heavy records. While Club Almagro Reserves have a slightly higher win chance than their opponents, the most likely outcome remains a stalemate. Almirante Brown Reserves’ winning chance is lower, despite their head-to-head victory, due to their poor scoring form away from home.

Club Almagro Reserves vs Almirante Brown Reserves Prediction

Bookmakers quote home win odds between 2.50 and 2.62, a draw at 2.00, and an away win at 4.00 to 4.33. The tight draw odds underline the expectation of a closely contested, low-scoring affair. Our prediction aligns with this: a draw is the most probable result. If a winner must be picked, Club Almagro Reserves hold a marginal edge, but the value likely lies in the draw market.