Ferroviario AC CE - Altos PI prediction 23 May 2026

The Serie D match between Altos PI and Ferroviario AC CE is set for May 23, 2026, at 20:00. Based on our analysis, Ferroviario AC CE is the slight favorite with a 35% win probability, while Altos PI has a 34% chance and a draw stands at 31%.

Team Form

Altos PI come into this fixture with inconsistent results. Their last five matches have produced one win, two draws and two losses (D, L, W, D, L). The only victory in that run was a 3-2 home success against Atletico Cearense CE on June 13, 2026. Defeats to ABC RN (0-1 at home) and Ferroviario AC CE (1-3 away) highlight defensive vulnerabilities.

Ferroviario AC CE are unbeaten in their last five outings, recording two wins and three draws (D, W, D, W, D). They secured a 2-0 home win over Central PE on June 28, 2026, and a 1-0 home victory against Fluminense PI on June 13. Away from home, their last three trips have all ended level (1-1 at Imperatriz MA, 1-1 at Central PE, 0-0 at CEFAT Tirol CE), showing resilience but a lack of cutting edge.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favours Ferroviario AC CE, who have won two of the three previous meetings. Altos PI have one victory with no draws. Altos PI’s sole success came at home on April 18, 2026, a 1-0 win in Serie D. Ferroviario won the most recent clash 3-1 at home on May 23, 2026, and also triumphed 1-0 in the Copa do Nordeste on February 19, 2025. The overall goal tally in these encounters is 5-2 in favour of Ferroviario.

League Table Positions

Ferroviario AC CE sit 6th in the overall Serie D standings with 21 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). They boast a perfect home record of 5 wins from 5 games, but their away form is less dominant. Altos PI are not listed among the top 12 teams in the overall table, indicating a significant gap in league performance. The standings strongly suggest Ferroviario are the better side on paper.

Win Probability: Altos PI or Ferroviario AC CE?

We have calculated the win probabilities based on team form, head-to-head record, league positions and home advantage. Ferroviario AC CE have a 35% chance of winning, Altos PI a 34% chance, and the draw is rated at 31%. Although Ferroviario are the marginally stronger team, Altos PI’s home win in the head-to-head and the visitors’ tendency to draw away matches keep the contest very close. Overall, Ferroviario are the narrow favourites, but the outcome is far from certain.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds for this match are not available in our data. However, based on the statistics, bookmakers would likely see Ferroviario AC CE as the favourite. Their superior league position and unbeaten recent run justify the favourite tag. Our prediction is a cautious one: Ferroviario are more likely to win, but a draw is a very realistic outcome. The final score could be tight, with under 2.5 goals expected given the teams’ recent defensive records.