Aluminium Nag Hammadi - Al Madina Al Monawara SC prediction 7 October 2026

Aluminium Nag Hammadi vs Al Madina Al Monawara SC prediction for October 7, 2026, in the Egyptian Second Division. Our analysis gives the home side a 40% chance of winning, with the draw at 35% and an away victory for Al Madina Al Monawara SC at 25%.

Team Form

Aluminium Nag Hammadi Recent Results

Aluminium Nag Hammadi's last five matches have yielded two wins, two draws, and one defeat. They have scored 8 goals and conceded only 2 in this period. Their most recent game was a 2-1 away loss to Team FC Cairo on May 11, 2026. Prior to that, they thrashed El Qusiya 4-0 at home on February 2, 2026. A 0-0 draw at Al Madina Al Monawara SC on November 24, 2025, was followed by a 3-0 home win over Edfu Center on November 17, 2025. The sequence began with a goalless draw at Shoban Moslemen Qena on January 8, 2025. The team has been solid defensively at home, keeping three clean sheets in their last four home matches.

Al Madina Al Monawara SC Recent Results

Al Madina Al Monawara SC are in outstanding form, winning four and drawing one of their last five away matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding none. They beat El Qusiya 2-0 on January 12, 2026, and demolished Shoban Moslemen Qena 4-0 on December 8, 2025. The only draw was a 0-0 stalemate against Aluminium Nag Hammadi on November 24, 2025. Further back, they won 2-0 at Al Nasr Taadeen on October 27, 2025, and beat Edfu Center 3-0 at home on September 15, 2025. This defensive solidity on the road makes them a tough opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have faced each other five times in the Second Division. Aluminium Nag Hammadi hold a clear advantage with two wins and three draws. Al Madina Al Monawara SC are yet to register a victory in this fixture. The most recent meeting, on November 24, 2025, ended 0-0 at Al Madina Al Monawara SC's home. The last time Aluminium Nag Hammadi hosted this match, on June 8, 2023, they secured a 3-1 win. The overall head-to-head record strongly favours the home side, with a high frequency of draws (60%).

Win Probability: Aluminium Nag Hammadi or Al Madina Al Monawara SC?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Aluminium Nag Hammadi win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• Al Madina Al Monawara SC win: 25%

These percentages are derived from the head-to-head record (Aluminium Nag Hammadi unbeaten in five), home advantage, and the contrasting recent form. Al Madina Al Monawara SC's perfect defensive record away from home in their last five matches is noteworthy, but they have never beaten today's opponents. The high draw probability reflects the three stalemates in five H2H encounters. While Aluminium Nag Hammadi are the more likely winners, a draw appears a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet published odds for this Second Division fixture. When they do, Aluminium Nag Hammadi are expected to be priced as marginal favourites. Our Aluminium Nag Hammadi vs Al Madina Al Monawara SC prediction is a low-scoring draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the most likely result. The visitors' defensive strength could cancel out the home side's historical edge, but Aluminium Nag Hammadi's unbeaten H2H run should not be ignored. A narrow home win is also a strong possibility.