Rayo Ibense - UD Alzira prediction 11 October 2026

The Rayo Ibense vs UD Alzira prediction for this Regional League match on October 11, 2026, points to an away win. Based on the latest odds and a dominant head-to-head record, UD Alzira enter the contest with a 45% win probability, while Rayo Ibense have a 28% chance and the draw sits at 27%.

Team Form

Rayo Ibense come into this match with mixed results: L, D, L, W, D in their last five outings. Their most recent fixture was a 2-0 friendly defeat to Alcoyano on August 1, 2026. In Regional League action, they drew 0-0 with Mutxamel CF (Feb 8), lost 4-1 to Carcaixent CF (Feb 4), beat Alicante 3-0 (Jan 25), and drew 0-0 again with Carcaixent CF (Dec 23, 2025). That’s one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five competitive matches.

UD Alzira’s recent form reads D, W, L, L, L. They drew 1-1 away at Alicante in the Regional League on September 27, 2026. Before that, a 2-0 friendly win at Recambios Colon (Aug 19) was followed by three straight Tercera Federacion defeats: 1-0 at Bunol (May 9), 1-0 at UD Vall De Uxo (Apr 26), and 1-0 at Saguntino (Apr 19). The away side have struggled for goals, failing to score in four of their last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours UD Alzira. In five previous meetings, Rayo Ibense have never won (0 wins), with UD Alzira claiming two victories and three draws. The last encounter was a 0-0 draw on April 7, 2019. UD Alzira’s wins came in 2018 (2-1) and 2017 (3-0), both at home. Across all five matches, UD Alzira have outscored Rayo Ibense 7-4 and remain unbeaten in this fixture.

League Table Positions

No current league table data is available for the Regional League season, so standings cannot be factored into this prediction. The analysis relies solely on recent form, head-to-head history, and bookmaker odds.

Win Probability: Rayo Ibense or UD Alzira?

After normalising the bookmaker odds to remove the margin, the base probabilities are: Rayo Ibense 30%, draw 27%, UD Alzira 43%. Adjusting for the head-to-head record – where UD Alzira have never lost to Rayo Ibense – and the slightly better recent form of the home side, the final win probabilities are:

• Rayo Ibense win: 28%
• Draw: 27%
• UD Alzira win: 45%

UD Alzira’s historical dominance in this fixture gives them a clear edge, despite their poor scoring run. Rayo Ibense’s home advantage and slightly more stable form keep them within striking distance, but the most likely outcome is an away win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are: Rayo Ibense 3.00, draw 3.30, UD Alzira 2.10. Bookmakers see UD Alzira as the favourite, and our probability model agrees. Based on the stats, the best prediction is an away win for UD Alzira, though a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out given both teams’ recent struggles in front of goal.