Anorthosis Famagusta - Omonia Aradippou prediction 24 October 2026

The Anorthosis Famagusta vs Omonia Aradippou prediction for this Cyprus 1st Division match on Oct 24 at 17:00 points towards a contest where the bookmakers see Anorthosis Famagusta as a slight favorite. Our calculated win probability gives the home side a 48% chance of winning, with a draw and an away win considered realistic outcomes based on the form and head-to-head statistics.

Team Form

Anorthosis Famagusta's recent results show inconsistency. Their last five matches read L, L, W, L, W. The two wins came against Enosis Neon Paralimni in a friendly and APOEL Nicosia at home, but they have also suffered defeats to Nea Salamis and Pafos FC. This indicates a team that can perform on their day but struggles for consistency.

Omonia Aradippou's form is similarly mixed, with a pattern of L, L, D, D, W in their last five outings. Their only victory in this run was a 2-1 home win against Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC. Away from home, they have managed two draws from three league matches this season, suggesting they are difficult to beat on the road despite not winning.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Anorthosis Famagusta and Omonia Aradippou is perfectly balanced. Out of the last five meetings, each side has recorded 2 wins, with 2 matches ending in a draw. The most recent encounter, on Apr 19, 2026, finished 1-1 at Anorthosis Famagusta's ground. Historically, goals have been a feature, with results ranging from a 3-0 home win for Anorthosis to a 2-1 away win for Omonia Aradippou. This tight H2H record supports the view that the match is difficult to call.

League Table Positions

In the overall 1st Division standings after 6 games played, Omonia Aradippou sit in 9th place with 6 points, having won 1, drawn 3, and lost 2. Anorthosis Famagusta's league record and position are not detailed in the overall table, but their recent form has featured matches against teams placed high up the league such as Pafos FC (5th) and APOEL Nicosia (8th), suggesting they are currently outside the very top ranks. Omonia Aradippou's away record is notable: they are ranked 8th in the away standings, earning 2 points from 3 away games with 2 draws and 1 loss.

Win Probability: Anorthosis Famagusta or Omonia Aradippou?

Based on the available odds, form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage, we assess the win probability as follows: Anorthosis Famagusta has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Omonia Aradippou has a 20% chance. The calculation uses the inverse of the provided odds (home 2.68, draw 2.05, away 3.45) as a base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The resulting raw probabilities are adjusted slightly upwards for the home side to reflect their historical edge and the fact they are playing at home, while the draw probability remains high given the evenly split H2H record and Omonia Aradippou's tendency to draw away from home. Anorthosis Famagusta emerges as the more likely winner, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds for the 1X2 market show Anorthosis Famagusta as the favorites with a home win priced at 2.68, a draw at 2.05, and an Omonia Aradippou away win at 3.45. Bookmakers see the draw as a very strong possibility, which aligns with the balanced head-to-head record and Omonia Aradippou's recent away draws. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home win or a low-scoring draw. Our final Anorthosis Famagusta vs Omonia Aradippou prediction leans towards the home side, but with a strong warning that the draw offers considerable value and should not be dismissed.