APIA Leichhardt Tigers - SD Raiders FC prediction 15 August 2026

The APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs SD Raiders FC prediction for the NPL NSW match on Aug 15, 2026, points to a home victory. Based on our analysis, APIA Leichhardt Tigers have a 55% chance of winning, while SD Raiders FC have a 20% chance, and the draw is at 25%. The game kicks off at 06:00 UTC at Lambert Park in Sydney.

Team Form

APIA Leichhardt Tigers come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (D, D, W, W, W). They drew 1‑1 with Sydney United on Aug 12, followed by a 0‑0 stalemate at St George Saints on Aug 8. Before that, they recorded three straight wins: 3‑1 at Sydney Olympic, 4‑1 at home against University of New South Wales, and a 5‑3 victory at Western Sydney Wanderers 2. The Tigers have scored 13 goals in those five matches.

SD Raiders FC are also in excellent form, especially on the road. Their last five away results read D, W, W, W, W. They drew 0‑0 with Macarthur FC on Aug 11, then beat Western Sydney Wanderers 2 3‑0, won 3‑2 at St George Saints, defeated Marconi Stallions 2‑1, and edged Wollongong Wolves 3‑2. The Raiders have netted 11 goals in that span.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favours APIA Leichhardt Tigers. In three previous meetings, APIA have one win and two draws, while SD Raiders FC are yet to win. The most recent clash was an NPL NSW fixture on May 2, 2026, where APIA won 3‑2 away. The other two encounters were Australia Cup matches in 2017, both ending 1‑1.

League Table Positions

APIA Leichhardt Tigers sit top of the NPL NSW table with 61 points from 27 matches (19 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). They have been dominant at home, collecting 34 points from 13 games (11 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) with 31 goals scored and only 14 conceded. SD Raiders FC are 7th with 38 points (11 wins, 5 draws, 11 losses). Their away record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses from 12 trips, with 19 goals for and 23 against.

Win Probability: APIA Leichhardt Tigers or SD Raiders FC?

After normalising the bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head record, league position, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• APIA Leichhardt Tigers win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• SD Raiders FC win: 20%

The odds implied a home win probability around 52%, but APIA’s near‑perfect home record (11‑1‑1) and their 3‑2 victory over the Raiders earlier this season push that figure higher. SD Raiders’ strong away form keeps the draw and away win chances alive, but the league leaders remain the clear favourites.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the favourite. The best available odds from the first bookmaker in our data are: home win 1.51, draw 2.65, away win 4.40. Other bookies offer similar prices, with the home win as low as 1.45. Based on the stats, APIA Leichhardt Tigers are the most likely winners. Our prediction: APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given both sides’ recent unbeaten runs.