Apollon Limassol - APOEL Nicosia prediction 19 September 2026

The Apollon Limassol vs APOEL Nicosia prediction for the Cyprus 1st Division clash on September 19, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on form, head-to-head data, and odds, Apollon Limassol enter as slight favorites with a 50% win probability, while APOEL Nicosia have a 20% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Apollon Limassol have shown mixed results in their last five matches across all competitions (D, W, D, L, L). In the league, they remain unbeaten with one win and two draws, sitting 4th in the table. Their recent 3-1 home victory over Anorthosis Famagusta highlights their attacking potential at home.

APOEL Nicosia have been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings (L, W, L, D, W). Their league form includes one win and two losses, placing them 9th. A standout 6-0 home win over AEL Limassol shows their ceiling but away results have been shaky.

Head-to-Head Record

In 58 previous meetings between these sides, Apollon Limassol have 23 wins, APOEL Nicosia 20, and 15 draws. Recent head-to-head form heavily favors Apollon, who have won four of the last five encounters, including a 2-0 home win in May 2026 and a 4-2 victory in the Cup. The only draw in that span was 0-0 in April 2026.

League Table Positions

After three matchdays, Apollon Limassol sit 4th with 5 points (1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses, goal difference +2). APOEL Nicosia are 9th with 3 points (1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, goal difference +3). Despite APOEL’s higher goal tally (8 scored against 5 for Apollon), their two defeats leave them six points behind the leaders and two points behind Apollon.

Win Probability: Apollon Limassol or APOEL Nicosia?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Apollon Limassol win: 50%
• Draw: 30%
• APOEL Nicosia win: 20%

The odds (home 2.08, draw 2.10, away 3.35) imply a close match, but recent H2H dominance and Apollon’s undefeated league start tilt the balance. APOEL’s away form has been poor, with losses in two of their recent away games.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers list Apollon Limassol as the slight favorite at odds around 2.08, with the draw at 2.10 and APOEL at 3.35. Considering Apollon’s strong recent record against APOEL and their solid home form, the stats suggest a home win or a low-scoring draw. The prediction leans toward Apollon Limassol to edge this encounter.