Pafos FC - APOEL Nicosia prediction 19 October 2026
Pafos FC
APOEL Nicosia
Nea SalamisPafos FCPafos FCRiga FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAtalantaPafos FCAnorthosis FamagustaPafos FCPafos FCAEL LimassolAEK LarnacaPafos FCPafos FCOlympiakos NicosiaKarmiotissa PolemidionPafos FCPafos FCDinamo TiranaDinamo TiranaPafos FCSlovan BratislavaPafos FCPafos FCJagiellonia BialystokJablonecPafos FCCracovia KrakowPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAls OmoniaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaNea SalamisApollon LimassolAPOEL NicosiaAnorthosis FamagustaAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaAEL LimassolAEK LarnacaAPOEL NicosiaOlympiakos NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaAnorthosis FamagustaAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaKifisiasFortuna SittardAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaOmonia NicosiaApollon LimassolAPOEL NicosiaAris LimassolAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FCAPOEL NicosiaPafos FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Larnaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Apollon Limassol | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  AEL Limassol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 |  Omonia Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 12 |
| 5 | Pafos FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aris | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | APOEL Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 11 |
| 8 |  Als Omonia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis Famagusta | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Nea Salamis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 |  Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 |  Karmiotissa Polemidion | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 3 |
Pafos FC vs APOEL Nicosia Prediction (Oct 19)
The Pafos FC vs APOEL Nicosia prediction for October 19, 2026, points to a tightly contested 1st Division fixture in Cyprus. Based on the odds, recent form, and home advantage, we assess Pafos FC has a 40% chance of winning, the draw sits at 32%, and APOEL Nicosia has a 28% chance.
Team Form
Pafos FC enters the match with a mixed 'L, W, L, W, D' pattern in their last five outings. Most recently, they fell 3-1 away to Atalanta in the UEFA Conference League (Oct 15). In the 1st Division, they secured a 3-1 win at Anorthosis Famagusta (Oct 11) but suffered a 0-2 home loss to AEL Limassol (Sep 18). Their form shows a tendency for tight results, with two clean sheets in the last three domestic matches.
APOEL Nicosia are on a 'W, D, L, W, L' run from their last five matches. They picked up a 2-1 home victory against Nea Salamis (Oct 10) and drew 2-2 away to Apollon Limassol (Sep 19). A 1-2 away defeat to Anorthosis Famagusta (Sep 12) and a heavy 1-3 loss at AEK Larnaca (Aug 29) show defensive vulnerabilities on the road. However, a 6-0 thrashing of AEL Limassol (Sep 6) underlines their goalscoring potential.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last 38 meetings, APOEL Nicosia holds a slight edge with 15 away wins to Pafos FC's 13 home wins, alongside 10 draws. The most recent encounters give Pafos confidence: they won 2-0 at home on May 22, 2026, and 2-0 at home on Feb 4, 2026. APOEL's last home match against Pafos ended in a 3-3 draw (Apr 26, 2026). Notably, Pafos have kept clean sheets in their last two home fixtures against APOEL.
League Table Positions
Pafos FC sit 5th with 10 points from 5 matches (3W, 1D, 1L) and a +4 goal difference. APOEL Nicosia are 8th with 7 points from 5 games (2W, 1D, 2L) and a +4 goal difference. Pafos have a perfect away record this season (3 wins from 3), while APOEL's home form is strong (2 wins from 2). This match is at Pafos's home ground, but they are actually stronger on the road; their home table position is not listed in the top eight, suggesting some inconsistency at this stadium.
Win Probability: Pafos FC or APOEL Nicosia?
After normalizing the inverse of the average bookmaker odds to remove the margin, we set a statistical base. We then adjusted for current form and the head-to-head trend. The calculation gives Pafos FC a 40% win probability, the draw a 32% probability, and APOEL Nicosia a 28% probability. Pafos get the nod as the more likely winner because they have won the last two home H2Hs without conceding, and APOEL have lost three of their last five away league matches. However, APOEL's strong home stats and high-scoring capability prevent a wider gap.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as an open contest. The best available odds from the data show a home win priced at 2.28, the draw at 2.15, and an away win at 3.65. The unusually low draw odds suggest the market expects a close game. Based on the stats and the home side's recent H2H dominance, the value might lie with Pafos FC. Still, the draw is a very real possibility given both teams' fluctuating form. A low-scoring encounter or a 1-0 to Pafos aligns with recent meetings.
Pafos FC vs APOEL Nicosia โ FAQ
- Who will win Pafos FC vs APOEL Nicosia?
- Pafos FC are the more likely winners with a 40% probability, compared to a 28% chance for APOEL Nicosia. The draw has a 32% probability. Pafos's recent home head-to-head dominance gives them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Pafos FC?
- Pafos FC have a 40% chance of winning. This is based on betting odds, their current form, and the fact they have won their last two home matches against APOEL Nicosia without conceding a goal.
- When is the Pafos FC vs APOEL Nicosia match?
- The match is scheduled for October 19, 2026, at 16:00 local time. It is a Cyprus 1st Division fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds from the data show a home win for Pafos FC priced at 2.28, the draw at 2.15, and an APOEL Nicosia away win at 3.65. The low draw odds indicate a tight match is expected by bookmakers.
- What is the head-to-head record between Pafos FC and APOEL Nicosia?
- In their last 38 meetings, APOEL Nicosia have 15 away wins and Pafos FC have 13 home wins, with 10 draws. However, Pafos won the most recent two home matches both by a 2-0 scoreline.