PAOK B - Apollon Pontou Kalamarias prediction 19 October 2026

The PAOK B vs Apollon Pontou Kalamarias prediction points to a tightly contested Super League 2 match on Oct 19 at 13:00. Based on odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record, PAOK B enters as the favorite with approximately a 45% win probability, compared to Apollon Pontou Kalamarias' 30% and a 25% chance for the draw.

Team Form

PAOK B's recent outings show inconsistency. Their last five results read L, D, L, W, L. A 3-0 defeat against Panionios on Oct 12 was followed by a 0-0 stalemate with Hellas Syros on Oct 5. Prior to that, they lost 1-0 to Larissa on Sep 27, beat Nestos Chrisoupolis 2-1 on Sep 21, and fell 2-0 to Panthrakikos on Sep 14. At home, they have mixed results with a draw and a win in their last two.

Apollon Pontou Kalamarias show slightly better recent form with W, D, W, L, L. They secured back-to-back home wins: 1-0 against Pas Pyrgos 1968 on Oct 11 and 1-0 against Anagennisi Karditsas on Sep 27. Their away trips brought a 1-1 draw at Zakynthos on Oct 5, and narrow 1-0 defeats at Asteras Tripolis B on Sep 20 and Panionios on Sep 14.

Head-to-Head Record

The only prior meeting between these sides in the data saw PAOK B claim a 1-0 away victory against Apollon Pontou Kalamarias on Dec 18, 2023, in the Super League 2. The head-to-head record sits at 1 win for PAOK B, with no draws or wins for Apollon Pontou Kalamarias.

League Table Positions

In the overall Super League 2 standings, Apollon Pontou Kalamarias sit 8th with 8 points from 6 matches (2W, 2D, 2L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their away form has been less convincing, leaving them outside the top 8 in the away table. PAOK B are not listed in the provided overall, home, or away standings, suggesting a lower position or insufficient data in the top 12. Apollon Pontou Kalamarias have a perfect home record of 2 wins from 2 matches, but this fixture is not at their stadium.

Win Probability: PAOK B or Apollon Pontou Kalamarias?

After analyzing the available match data, the calculated win probabilities are: PAOK B win 45%, Draw 25%, Apollon Pontou Kalamarias win 30%. This calculation starts from the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (approximately 1.90, 2.67, 4.34), which gives implied probabilities of 49%, 35%, and 22% respectively. The bookmaker margin has been removed and probabilities normalized. Adjustments were then made based on PAOK B's home advantage and their 100% winning head-to-head record, countered slightly by their poor recent form (only 1 win in 5). Apollon Pontou Kalamarias' more balanced recent record (2 wins in 5) and solid defensive stats add weight to their chances. The conclusion is that while PAOK B are more likely to win, Apollon Pontou Kalamarias have a significant chance of taking something from the game.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers clearly favor PAOK B for this clash. The 1X2 odds show a home win priced as low as 1.80 and as high as 1.95, with the draw between 1.95 and 3.38, and an Apollon Pontou Kalamarias victory between 4.00 and 4.65. These PAOK B vs Apollon Pontou Kalamarias betting tips suggest a low-scoring affair is expected. Based on the stats, the head-to-head advantage, and the home factor, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for PAOK B, though a draw is a strong possibility given Apollon's ability to grind out results.