Tiszakecske FC - Aqvital Csakvari TK prediction 17 October 2026

Tiszakecske FC vs Aqvital Csakvari TK prediction for the NB II match on October 17, 2026. Based on the latest odds, team form, and league standings, Tiszakecske FC are the clear favorites with a 70% win probability, while Aqvital Csakvari TK hold just a 12% chance.

Team Form

Tiszakecske FC have put together a strong run of results. Their last five outings across all competitions read W, D, L, W, W – the only defeat coming in the cup. In the league, they remain unbeaten this season with a potent attack that has scored 21 goals in nine matches. At home, they have been particularly dominant, winning four and drawing one of their five fixtures at this venue while conceding just five goals.

Aqvital Csakvari TK are in a miserable spell. Their last five results are L, L, L, D, L, and they have managed only one point in that stretch. Defensive frailties are evident, having shipped 10 goals in those five games, including a 6-0 thrashing at Soroksar SC. The visitors are winless in their last four league matches and sit well outside the top 12 in the standings, fighting to avoid the drop.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head between these sides is perfectly balanced after 15 meetings: 4 wins for Tiszakecske FC, 4 wins for Aqvital Csakvari TK, and 7 draws. However, recent encounters have slightly favored the away team. In the last five matches, Csakvari have won two (both times as the away side) while three ended in draws. Tiszakecske FC have not beaten Csakvari since February 2023, but the current season’s contrast in form suggests that pattern could change.

League Table Positions

Tiszakecske FC sit 3rd in the NB II table with 19 points from nine games (5 wins, 4 draws, 0 defeats). Their home record is exceptional – ranked 2nd – with 13 points from five matches, scoring 12 and conceding only 5. Aqvital Csakvari TK are not inside the top 12 in the league standings and are lingering near the bottom. The gap in quality and consistency is wide, giving the hosts a massive edge.

Tiszakecske FC vs Aqvital Csakvari TK Prediction

After removing the bookmaker margin from the odds (home 1.45, draw 4.20, away 5.50), the base probabilities are 62.2% for a home win, 21.5% for a draw, and 16.3% for an away win. Adjusting for the current season data – Tiszakecske’s unbeaten league record, top‑3 position, and excellent home form, versus Csakvari’s losing streak, defensive problems, and lowly league status – we shift the probabilities further in favor of the hosts.

Win Probability: Tiszakecske FC – 70%, Draw – 18%, Aqvital Csakvari TK – 12%

The reasoning is clear: Tiszakecske are one of the strongest sides at home in this division and are yet to taste league defeat, while Csakvari have shown little fight away from home and come into this match with zero momentum. Therefore, Tiszakecske FC are far more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this exactly the same way, pricing a Tiszakecske FC victory at a very short 1.45. The draw is offered at 4.20 and an away win is as high as 5.50. These odds reinforce the gulf between the two teams.

Based on the stats, odds, and form guide, the final prediction is a home win for Tiszakecske FC. A correct score bet of 2-0 or 3-1 could offer value given Csakvari’s tendency to concede heavily on the road.