Aral Samali PFK - PFC Terdu prediction 8 October 2026

This Aral Samali PFK vs PFC Terdu prediction covers the Uzbekistan Pro League match on Oct 8, 2026, at 14:00. Aral Samali PFK are the clear favorite with a 82% chance of winning, while the draw is at 13% and PFC Terdu have a 5% chance.

This page examines team form, head-to-head record, league table positions and odds to answer the key question: who will win Aral Samali PFK vs PFC Terdu?

Team Form

Aral Samali PFK have three wins, one draw and one loss from their last five Pro League games: W, W, D, W, L. They won 5-2 at Turan Yaypan on Sep 21, beat Lochin 2-0 at home on Sep 13, drew 1-1 at FarDu Fergana on Sep 7, beat Kattaqorgon 1-0 at home on Aug 27, and lost 2-1 at Olimpik Mobiuz on Aug 20.

PFC Terdu have lost five straight Pro League matches: L, L, L, L, L. They lost 1-4 at home to Gazalkent on Sep 22, 3-0 at Shurtan Guzar on Sep 12, 0-1 at home to Jayhun Nukus on Sep 7, 3-0 at Pakhtakor Tashkent II on Aug 28, and 0-3 at home to Metallurg Bekabad on Aug 20.

Head-to-Head Record

The available head-to-head record contains one Pro League match. On May 29, 2026, PFC Terdu hosted Aral Samali PFK and lost 0-1. Therefore Aral Samali PFK have one win and PFC Terdu have no wins or draws in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Aral Samali PFK lead the Pro League table with 49 points from 20 matches: 15 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat, 42 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they are perfect with 10 wins from 10 home matches, 22 goals scored and only 3 conceded.

PFC Terdu are not present in the available top 12 overall standings, while Aral Samali PFK sit first. The standings gap is another factor favoring the home side.

Win Probability: Aral Samali or PFC Terdu?

Using the inverse of the available oneXTwo odds and normalizing for the bookmaker margin, the home win price of 1.06–1.08 points to an implied home chance of roughly 73–84%. After adjusting for Aral Samali PFK's perfect home record, their stronger form and PFC Terdu's five-match losing run, Aral Samali PFK has a 82% chance of winning, the draw is at 13%, and PFC Terdu has a 5% chance.

Conclusion: Aral Samali PFK are the much more likely winners. PFC Terdu need a huge upset based on current form and the league table.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available oneXTwo odds list Aral Samali PFK at 1.06–1.08 to win, a draw at 3.60–7.90, and PFC Terdu at 15.00–19.00. Bookmakers see Aral Samali PFK as the heavy favorite.

Final prediction and betting tips: the home win is the strongest match outcome pick, but the odds are very short. The stats point toward a home win for Aral Samali PFK, and PFC Terdu's recent scoring problems make an away upset unlikely.