Ararat-Armenia FC - FC Noah prediction 26 October 2026

The Ararat-Armenia FC vs FC Noah prediction for this Armenian Premier League clash on Oct 26 at 15:00 points towards an away victory. Based on all available stats, the visitors are the favorites to win, carrying a solid probability edge over the hosts.

Team Form

Ararat-Armenia FC's recent results have been inconsistent, with a form string of W, L, D, W, L across their last five outings. They grabbed a 1-0 away win at Bkma Yerevan but were beaten heavily 3-1 by Jagiellonia Bialystok in the UEFA Europa League. Their home form shows a 1-1 draw with Alashkert FC and a 4-1 defeat to Sparta Prague. In contrast, FC Noah are unbeaten in their last five, recording D, W, D, W, W. They drew 1-1 with Pyunik Yerevan, thrashed Sardarapat FC 5-1, and beat Van Charentsavan 2-0. Momentum firmly lies with the away side.

Head-to-Head Record

Over 31 previous meetings, Ararat-Armenia FC have 14 wins, FC Noah have 11, and 6 matches ended as draws. However, the pendulum has swung drastically in Noah's favor recently. The last H2H clash, on May 10, 2026, saw FC Noah demolish Ararat-Armenia 4-0 at this venue. Prior to that, Noah won 1-0 in a Cup tie. The hosts' last positive result was a 2-1 away win in November 2025. Noah have clearly dominated the recent head-to-head battles.

League Table Positions

FC Noah sit proudly at the top of the Premier League table with 28 points from 10 games, having won 9, drawn 1, and lost none. They've scored 27 goals and conceded just 7. Ararat-Armenia FC are in second place with 23 points, well adrift after 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. On the road, Noah boast a perfect 4 wins from 4 away games, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Ararat-Armenia have been strong at home (3 wins, 2 draws in 5 games), but Noah's overall record and table dominance speak for themselves.

Win Probability: Ararat-Armenia FC or FC Noah?

Analyzing the match from statistical and odds-based perspectives, the probabilities are: Ararat-Armenia FC win – 30%, draw – 30%, and FC Noah win – 40%. The calculation is grounded in the bookmakers' odds (home 3.25, draw 3.30, away 1.95), which, after removing the margin, point to Noah as the favorite. FC Noah's perfect away record, a 5-point lead in the table, and a recent 4-0 demolition of Ararat-Armenia further adjust the numbers in their favor. Combined, the visitors have a 70% chance of avoiding defeat, making an away win the most likely single outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see FC Noah as the favorites, offering 1.95 for an away victory. A home win for Ararat-Armenia FC stands at 3.25, while the draw is at 3.30. These odds align perfectly with the head-to-head momentum and current standings. Our Ararat-Armenia FC vs FC Noah prediction is an away victory. FC Noah's flawless league campaign and attacking firepower should be too much for an Ararat-Armenia side that has wobbled at times. A high-scoring affair is possible, but based on the stats, the smart money is on the league leaders to extend their unbeaten run.