Ararat Yerevan II - Andranik prediction 4 August 2026

Our Ararat Yerevan II vs Andranik prediction for the 1 Division match on Aug 04 at 13:00 is that Andranik are overwhelming favorites. Based on current form and statistical analysis, Andranik hold a 70% win probability, while Ararat Yerevan II have just a 12% chance of victory. The draw stands at 18%.

Team Form

Ararat Yerevan II come into this fixture in disastrous shape, having lost their last five matches consecutively:

• FC Syunik 4-0 Ararat Yerevan II (May 25)
• Ararat Yerevan II 1-6 Andranik (May 21)
• Ararat-Armenia FC II 3-0 Ararat Yerevan II (May 15)
• BKMA Yerevan 2 4-0 Ararat Yerevan II (May 11)
• Ararat Yerevan II 1-4 FC Hayq (May 05)

The side has conceded 18 goals in those five outings while scoring only twice, highlighting severe defensive and offensive issues.

Andranik are in scintillating form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches:

• Andranik 7-1 FC Ararati Araks (May 26)
• Ararat Yerevan II 1-6 Andranik (May 21)
• Andranik 3-1 Noah Yerevan 2 (May 15)
• Andranik 1-1 Sardarapat FC (May 11)
• Pyunik Yerevan 2 0-1 Andranik (May 06)

That run includes a massive 6-1 away win against this same opponent, reinforcing their superiority.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Andranik. In two previous meetings in the 1 Division, Andranik have won both times:

• Ararat Yerevan II 1-6 Andranik (May 21, 2026)
• Andranik 2-1 Ararat Yerevan II (Nov 04, 2025)

Ararat Yerevan II have never beaten Andranik, and the aggregate score is 8-2 in Andranik’s favor. The most recent match, played at Ararat’s ground, ended in a humiliating defeat for the hosts.

League Table Positions

Andranik sit 5th in the overall standings with 66 points from 30 games (21 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses), scoring 76 goals and conceding just 30. Ararat Yerevan II are 7th with 38 points (12 wins, 2 draws, 16 losses), with a goal difference of 43:58.

At home, Ararat Yerevan II rank 8th with 22 points from 15 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses). Andranik have been strong away, ranking 5th with 31 points from 15 games (10 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). The 28-point gap in the overall table and the superior away stats underline the mismatch.

Win Probability: Ararat Yerevan II or Andranik?

After weighing all available data — team form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home/away factors — the match outcome probabilities are as follows:

• Andranik win: 70%
• Draw: 18%
• Ararat Yerevan II win: 12%

Ararat Yerevan II’s five-game losing streak and a 1-6 home defeat to Andranik just weeks ago severely lower their chances. Even with home advantage, their record is poor (7 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses at home). Andranik’s form and perfect H2H record justify the high probability. The draw is possible but unlikely given Andranik’s attacking output (15 goals in last 5) and Ararat’s defensive frailty.

Ararat Yerevan II vs Andranik Prediction & Odds

Specific odds are not supplied in the current data. However, based on the statistics, any bookmaker would price Andranik as strong favorites, potentially at very short odds. The match prediction is a comfortable away win for Andranik. The betting tip, if odds were available, would lean towards an Andranik victory with a possible handicap option, considering their recent 6-1 demolition of this opponent. The total goals market could also be attractive, as four of Ararat Yerevan II’s last five matches have seen over 2.5 goals, and Andranik’s last two games produced 8 and 4 goals respectively. Overall, all signs point to an Andranik dominance.