Arbroath - Queens Park prediction 25 September 2026

The Arbroath vs Queens Park prediction for this Scottish Championship fixture on Sep 25 at 19:45 sees Arbroath as the clear favorite. Based on the latest odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Arbroath has a 52% chance of winning, while Queens Park sits at a 22% probability, with the draw at 26%. The match takes place at Gayfield Park.

Team Form

Arbroath's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches (W, W, D, L, L). At home, they have been solid, remaining unbeaten in their last three league games at Gayfield Park (W, D, W). Their most recent home result was a 1-1 draw against Dunfermline on Sep 5.

Queens Park are struggling, with just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings (L, D, W, L, L). Away from home, they have lost three of their last four, including a 2-0 defeat at Dunfermline on Sep 12. Their only away point in that run came in a 0-0 draw at Partick Thistle.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record slightly favors Queens Park, who have 7 wins to Arbroath's 5, with 1 draw in their 13 meetings. However, Arbroath won the most recent encounter 1-0 at home on Mar 21, 2026. The last four matches have been split evenly, with each side winning twice. Notably, Arbroath have won two of the last three meetings at Gayfield Park, including a 4-1 victory in October 2025.

League Table Positions

Arbroath sit 7th in the Championship table with 8 points from 7 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). They have scored just 4 goals and conceded 9. At home, they are 6th with 5 points from 3 games, remaining unbeaten.

Queens Park are 9th with only 4 points from 7 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 5 losses). They have scored 3 goals and conceded 11. Away from home, they are 8th with 3 points from 4 games, having lost three times.

Win Probability: Arbroath or Queens Park?

Arbroath has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Queens Park has a 22% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.78, draw 2.05, away 4.10), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Arbroath's strong home form (unbeaten in three) and Queens Park's poor away record (three losses in four). The head-to-head trend at Gayfield Park also supports a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Arbroath as the favorite, with odds as low as 1.78 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.05, while a Queens Park victory is offered at up to 4.20. Based on the stats, Arbroath's home advantage and Queens Park's struggles on the road make the home side the most likely winner. A low-scoring match is expected, given both teams' struggles in front of goal.