Arema Indonesia - Dewa United Banten FC prediction 25 October 2026

Arema Indonesia vs Dewa United Banten FC prediction for the Liga 1 match on Oct 25, 2026, at 08:30 UTC. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Dewa United Banten FC enters this match as the favorite with a 50% win probability, while Arema Indonesia has a 20% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Arema Indonesia's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, three draws, and one loss (W1 D3 L1). The sequence reads: a 3-1 away loss to Garudayaksa on Oct 17, a 2-2 home draw with Bhayangkara Surabaya United on Oct 10, a 1-1 home draw against Persik Kediri on Sep 18, a 3-3 away draw at PSM Makassar on Sep 13, and a 4-0 home victory over Adhyaksa Farmel FC on Sep 4. That lone win showed attacking potential, but the three draws and a loss highlight defensive vulnerabilities.

Dewa United Banten FC, on the other hand, is in excellent shape. Their last five results: three wins and two draws (W3 D2 L0). They beat Persijap Jepara 2-0 at home on Oct 20, drew 2-2 away to Persib Bandung on Oct 11, won 2-1 at home against PSS Sleman on Sep 20, secured a 3-1 away win at Borneo Samarinda on Sep 16, and drew 2-2 at home with Bhayangkara Surabaya United on Sep 11. This unbeaten run underlines their consistency and ability to score goals on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides heavily favors Dewa United Banten FC. In 7 previous meetings, Dewa United won 4 times, Arema Indonesia won twice, and there was 1 draw. The most recent encounters: on Jan 26, 2026, Dewa United won 2-0 at home; on Sep 13, 2025, Dewa United won 2-1 away at Arema; and on Jan 11, 2025, Dewa United again won 2-0 at home. Arema's last victory came on Nov 2, 2023, a 2-1 home win. The trend shows Dewa United has dominated recent clashes, winning the last three in a row.

League Table Positions

Dewa United Banten FC sits at the top of the Liga 1 overall standings with 14 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 12 goals and conceded only 6. Arema Indonesia is in 11th place with 6 points from 5 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded. The away table further emphasizes Dewa United's strength: they rank 1st with 7 points from 3 away games (2 wins, 1 draw), scoring 6 and conceding 3. Arema's home form is not among the top 8 in the home standings, indicating they have struggled to turn home advantage into wins.

Win Probability: Arema Indonesia or Dewa United Banten FC?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are: Arema Indonesia win – 20%, Draw – 30%, Dewa United Banten FC win – 50%. These percentages are derived from the betting odds (home 3.60-3.70, draw 2.22-2.30, away 2.40-2.45), which initially implied a draw as the most likely outcome, but adjusted significantly based on Dewa United's superior league position, unbeaten away record, dominant head-to-head history, and current form. Arema's home factor and occasional high-scoring performances keep their chances at 20%, but the balance of evidence points to an away win as the most probable result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market show home win prices between 3.60 and 3.70, a draw at 2.22 to 2.30, and an away win at 2.40 to 2.45. These odds suggest a tight contest, with the draw initially favored by the market. However, based on the stats, Dewa United Banten FC is the more likely winner. The prediction for Arema Indonesia vs Dewa United Banten FC is an away victory, but with the draw as a plausible outcome given Arema's recent string of stalemates. Bettors should consider Dewa United's strong away form and head-to-head dominance when making their betting tips.