Argentina - Benin prediction 7 October 2026

Argentina vs Benin prediction: Argentina is the overwhelming favorite to win this Friendly International match on October 7, 2026, with a calculated win probability of 90%. Benin faces an uphill battle, with just a 2% chance of an upset, while the draw stands at 8%. Read on for team form, head-to-head stats, odds, and our full match prediction.

Team Form

Argentina

Argentina comes into this match in strong form, with four wins and one draw in their last five outings (W-W-D-W-D). They demolished Burkina Faso 7-0 and Bolivia 4-0 in recent friendlies, showing their attacking firepower. In the World Cup, they held Spain to a 0-0 draw, beat England 2-1, and drew 1-1 with Switzerland. Argentina has scored 14 goals in these five matches while conceding only 2.

• Oct 4: Argentina 7-0 Burkina Faso (Friendly) – W
• Oct 1: Argentina 4-0 Bolivia (Friendly) – W
• Jul 19: Spain 0-0 Argentina (World Cup) – D
• Jul 15: England 1-2 Argentina (World Cup) – W
• Jul 12: Argentina 1-1 Switzerland (World Cup) – D

Benin

Benin's recent form is mixed: W-D-L-D-W. They edged Mauritania 2-1 in the African Cup of Nations, drew 1-1 with Burkina Faso, but suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat to Togo in a friendly. They also drew 1-1 with Niger and beat Guinea 1-0. Benin has scored 6 goals and conceded 9 in their last five, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

• Sep 29: Benin 2-1 Mauritania (African Cup of Nations) – W
• Sep 25: Burkina Faso 1-1 Benin (African Cup of Nations) – D
• Jun 9: Togo 5-1 Benin (Friendly) – L
• Jun 5: Benin 1-1 Niger (Friendly) – D
• Mar 31: Guinea 0-1 Benin (Friendly) – W

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Argentina and Benin. This will be the first-ever clash between the two nations, so no historical head-to-head data is available.

Argentina vs Benin Prediction: Win Probability

Based on the latest odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Argentina win: 90%
• Draw: 8%
• Benin win: 2%

Bookmakers' odds imply an Argentina victory probability of around 88% after removing the margin. We have adjusted this upward slightly to 90% because of Argentina's dominant recent performances and the fact they are playing at home. Benin's chances are minimal, given their inconsistent results and the gulf in class.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers heavily favor Argentina. The best available odds for a home win are as low as 1.01, with most firms offering between 1.05 and 1.07. The draw is priced around 7.50 to 26.00, while a Benin victory can be backed at odds ranging from 34.00 to 200.00. These odds reflect the massive disparity between the teams.

Our prediction: Argentina to win comfortably. Based on the stats, a correct score bet on a high-scoring Argentina win could be worth considering, given their recent 7-0 and 4-0 victories. However, always gamble responsibly.