Armadale - Perth RedStar prediction 22 August 2026

The Armadale vs Perth RedStar prediction for the NPL Western Australia clash on Aug 22 at 07:00 sees Perth RedStar as the favorite with a 43% win probability, despite playing away from home. Armadale, struggling near the foot of the table, has a 31% chance of victory, while the draw stands at 26%.

Team Form

Armadale's recent form shows inconsistency: one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches (W, D, D, D, L). Their most recent outing was a 3-1 home victory over Dianella White Eagles on Aug 15. Before that, they drew 3-3 away at Balcatta, 1-1 at Stirling Lions FC, and 2-2 at Perth Glory Youth. A heavy 1-6 home defeat to Olympic Kingsway on Jul 04 highlights defensive vulnerabilities.

Perth RedStar's form is also mixed with two losses, one draw, and two wins in their last five (L, L, D, L, W). They suffered a 2-5 away loss at Perth SC on Aug 15 and a 0-1 defeat at Sorrento FC on Aug 01. A 0-0 home draw with Balcatta and a 0-3 home loss to Fremantle City FC preceded a 2-1 away win at Olympic Kingsway on Jul 11.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides spans 26 meetings: Armadale has 12 wins, Perth RedStar 9, and 5 draws. Recent encounters favor Perth RedStar. In their last five matches, Perth RedStar won 1-0 at home on May 16, 2026, and 4-1 away in the Australia Cup on Apr 11, 2026. Armadale lost 0-2 at home on Jun 21, 2025, and drew 1-1 away on Mar 22, 2025. Another 1-1 draw occurred on Mar 30, 2024.

League Table Positions

In the NPL Western Australia standings, Perth RedStar sits 3rd with 38 points from 21 matches (11 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses). Armadale is 10th with 21 points (5 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses). The 17-point gap underscores the difference in consistency. At home, Armadale ranks 8th with 13 points from 10 games, while Perth RedStar's away form places them 5th with 16 points from 10 away fixtures.

Win Probability: Armadale or Perth RedStar?

Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are: Armadale 31%, Draw 26%, Perth RedStar 43%. The calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.05, draw 2.50, away 2.70) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Perth RedStar's superior league standing and recent H2H dominance. Armadale's home advantage and Perth RedStar's inconsistent away form slightly narrow the gap, but the visitors remain clear favorites.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds reflect the probabilities: Armadale win is priced between 2.00 and 2.05, the draw between 2.50 and 3.90, and a Perth RedStar away win between 2.70 and 3.10. The best home odds of 2.05 imply a 48.8% chance, but the adjusted probability accounts for the visitors' stronger overall profile. Based on the stats, Perth RedStar is more likely to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Armadale's recent string of stalemates.