Arnett Gardens - Molynes United prediction 26 October 2026

This Arnett Gardens vs Molynes United prediction covers the Jamaica Premier League match on Oct 26 at 22:05. Arnett Gardens are the clear favorite: based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data, Arnett Gardens have a 70% win probability, while the draw is 18% and Molynes United have 12%.

Team Form

Arnett Gardens come into this match with form of D, D, L, W, L. They drew 2-2 away at Montego Bay United on Oct 18, drew 1-1 at home to Portmore United on Oct 6, lost 3-2 away at Cavalier on Sep 27, beat Dunbeholden FC 3-0 at home on Sep 22, and lost 3-2 away at FC Racing United on Sep 15.

Molynes United have form of W, L, L, L, L. They beat Cavalier 1-0 at home on Oct 19, lost 1-0 away at Dunbeholden FC on Oct 11, lost 0-6 at home to FC Racing United on Oct 4, lost 0-1 at home to Tru-Juice FC on Sep 27, and lost 2-1 away at Chapelton Maroons on Sep 20.

Head-to-Head Record

Across all head-to-head matches in the database, Arnett Gardens lead with 8 wins to Molynes United's 3, and there have been 7 draws. In the most recent five meetings, Arnett Gardens have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. The last clash was on Apr 19, when Molynes United won 3-0 at home. The previous Arnett home meeting was a 0-0 draw on Mar 9.

League Table Positions

Molynes United are 8th in the Premier League table with 6 points from 6 matches, including 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, goals for 5 and goals against 12. Arnett Gardens are 10th with 5 points from 5 matches, including 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, goals for 10 and goals against 9. Arnett Gardens have played one match fewer and are only one point behind, with a better goal difference.

Win Probability: Arnett Gardens or Molynes United?

Using average 1X2 odds of 1.18 for Arnett Gardens, 5.30 for the draw and 9.75 for Molynes United, the inverse odds were normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Before adjustments, the implied probabilities were about 74% for Arnett Gardens, 17% for the draw and 9% for Molynes United. After adjusting for Arnett Gardens' inconsistent D-D-L-W-L form, Molynes United's four defeats in five, home advantage and the overall head-to-head record, the final win probability is: Arnett Gardens 70%, draw 18%, Molynes United 12%.

This means Arnett Gardens are the more likely winner, but the data also gives the draw a meaningful chance.

Odds & Arnett Gardens vs Molynes United Prediction

Bookmakers have Arnett Gardens as strong favourites. The available 1X2 odds show Arnett Gardens at 1.17 to 1.21, the draw at 3.30 to 8.14 and Molynes United at 7.50 to 13.50. For betting tips, the 1X2 market clearly points toward the home side. Based on the stats, the predicted outcome is an Arnett Gardens win, with the draw as the second-most likely result. Molynes United's away struggles and Arnett Gardens' home advantage strengthen the case for a home win.