Maxline Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzerzhinsk prediction 18 September 2026

Maxline Vitebsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk prediction for their Vysshaya League match on Sep 18, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Maxline Vitebsk enters as the heavy favorite with a 68% win probability, while Arsenal Dzerzhinsk faces an uphill battle. Based on current form, head-to-head dominance, and league standings, the home side is expected to secure all three points.

Team Form

Maxline Vitebsk are unbeaten in their last five league games, recording one win and four draws. They drew 1-1 at Dnepr Mogilev, then played three consecutive draws: 0-0 against Dinamo Minsk at home, 1-1 at home to Belshina Bobruisk, and an impressive 3-1 away victory at Dinamo Brest, before a 0-0 home stalemate with BATE Borisov. In that span, they scored 5 goals and conceded 3, showing defensive solidity. Maxline kept three clean sheets in those five outings.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk’s form is poor, with no wins in their last five (two draws, three defeats). They drew 0-0 at home against Baranovichi and 1-1 away at Isloch, but lost 2-4 at home to Torpedo Zhodino, 0-2 away at Belshina Bobruisk, and 1-3 at home to Slavia Mozyr. Arsenal managed only 4 goals while conceding 10 in these matches, and they have conceded at least two goals in each of the three defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last seven meetings across all competitions, Maxline Vitebsk have won 4, drawn 2, and lost just 1 to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. The most recent encounters were completely one-sided: Maxline won 3-0 away on May 17, 2026, and 4-0 away on Aug 10, 2025. The only draw in the last three came on Mar 29, 2025, when Maxline hosted and it ended 2-2. The H2H record strongly favors Maxline Vitebsk.

League Table Positions

Maxline Vitebsk sit 2nd in the Vysshaya League with 41 points from 20 matches (11 wins, 8 draws, 1 loss), just four points behind leaders Isloch with a game in hand. They have the league’s best away record (8 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and a solid home defense, conceding only 6 goals in 10 home fixtures. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are 12th with 23 points from 22 matches (5 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses). Their 36 goals conceded highlight defensive vulnerabilities that Maxline will look to exploit.

Win Probability: Maxline Vitebsk or Arsenal Dzerzhinsk?

After normalizing the betting odds to remove the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities were Maxline win 61%, draw 29%, Arsenal win 10%. However, adjusting for team form, head-to-head history, and league positions, we estimate Maxline Vitebsk’s win probability at 68%, the draw at 24%, and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk’s chance at 8%. Maxline’s unbeaten run, home advantage, and Arsenal’s scoring struggles tilt the balance heavily toward the hosts.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current 1X2 betting odds are Maxline Vitebsk to win at 1.49, the draw priced at 3.10, and an Arsenal victory at 9.00. These odds mirror the gulf between the sides. Based on all available stats, our Maxline Vitebsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk prediction is a home win, likely with a clean sheet. The most probable scoreline could be 2-0 or 3-0 in favor of Maxline.