Bayern Munich - Arsenal FC prediction 21 October 2026
Bayern Munich
Arsenal FC
SC FreiburgBayern MunichBayern MunichArsenal FCBayern MunichRB LeipzigVikingBayern MunichAugsburgBayern MunichBayern MunichUnion BerlinSV ElversbergBayern MunichBayern MunichBodo/GlimtSchalke 04Bayern MunichVfL OsnabruckBayern MunichBayern MunichVfB StuttgartHeidenheimBayern MunichBayern MunichRB LeipzigAston VillaBayern MunichJeju UnitedBayern MunichArsenal FCEvertonBayern MunichArsenal FCNottingham ForestArsenal FCArsenal FCLOSC LilleArsenal FCLeeds UnitedBrightonArsenal FCIpswich TownArsenal FCSunderlandArsenal FCNapoliArsenal FCArsenal FCChelseaAston VillaArsenal FCArsenal FCCoventry CityArsenal FCManchester CityArsenal FCComo 1907Arsenal FCBorussia DortmundBayern MunichArsenal FCArsenal FCBayern MunichArsenal FCBayern MunichBayern MunichArsenal FCBayern MunichArsenal FCArsenal FCBayern MunichBayern MunichArsenal FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 6 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Arsenal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 |
| 13 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 24 |  Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 26 |  AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 27 |  Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 28 |  Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |  LASK Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 |  LOSC Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 |
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal FC Prediction (Oct 21)
The UEFA Champions League match between Bayern Munich and Arsenal FC on Oct 21 at Allianz Arena is finely balanced. Based on available form data and head-to-head records, Bayern Munich has a 41% chance of winning, the draw has a 31% chance, and Arsenal FC has a 28% chance. This Bayern Munich vs Arsenal FC prediction indicates a closely contested match, with home advantage giving Bayern a slight edge.
Team Form
Bayern Munich, playing at home, have shown strong attacking form in recent matches. Their last five results are W, D, D, W, W. Highlights include a 6-1 Bundesliga win over RB Leipzig on Oct 17 and a 7-0 victory against Union Berlin on Sep 18. However, two away draws (3-3 vs Viking and 2-2 vs Augsburg) suggest some defensive vulnerabilities.
Arsenal FC travel to Munich in excellent form, with their last five results being W, W, W, L, W. They are on a three-match winning streak, including a 1-0 away win at Nottingham Forest on Oct 18 and a 3-0 Champions League home win over LOSC Lille on Oct 13. Their only recent defeat was a 3-0 loss at Brighton on Sep 19.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record shows 1 win for Bayern Munich, 2 for Arsenal FC, and 3 draws in their last six meetings. The most recent match was on Nov 26, 2025, where Arsenal FC defeated Bayern Munich 3-1 at home in the UEFA Champions League. The last meeting at Allianz Arena was a 1-1 draw in a friendly on Jul 19, 2017. In the 2024 Champions League, they drew 2-2 at Arsenal.
League Table Positions
In the UEFA Champions League overall standings, Arsenal FC sit 7th with 6 points from 2 wins (4 goals for, 0 against). Bayern Munich are 10th with 4 points from 1 win and 1 draw (8 goals for, 3 against). Arsenal have a perfect defensive record so far, while Bayern have been more prolific in attack. Away from home, Arsenal have a 100% record, while Bayern's only home match resulted in a win.
Win Probability: Bayern Munich or Arsenal FC?
Based on odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Bayern Munich has a 41% chance of winning, the draw has a 31% chance, and Arsenal FC has a 28% chance. The calculation uses the inverse of the available odds (normalized to remove the bookmaker margin) and adjusts for Bayern's home advantage and recent goalscoring form, balanced against Arsenal's strong away and defensive record. A draw is a significant possibility given the H2H history of three stalemates in the last six meetings.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds for the match are varied, with best available prices around 2.50 for a Bayern Munich home win and 3.30 for an Arsenal FC away win. The draw is priced as low as 2.35 by some bookmakers, reflecting the expected tight contest. Based on the stats, this match is too close to call with high confidence, but home advantage and Bayern's recent high-scoring form make them the marginal favorites. A predicted outcome of under 3.5 total goals might be a sensible betting tip given Arsenal's strong defense, having conceded 0 goals in the Champions League so far.
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Bayern Munich vs Arsenal FC?
- The match is very close to call. Based on form, head-to-head stats, and odds, Bayern Munich has a 41% chance of winning, the draw has a 31% chance, and Arsenal FC has a 28% chance. Bayern are slight favorites due to home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Bayern Munich?
- Bayern Munich's win probability is 41%. This is calculated from bookmaker odds and adjusted for their strong recent home form, including a 6-1 win over RB Leipzig, though Arsenal's excellent defensive record lowers their chances.
- When is the Bayern Munich vs Arsenal FC match?
- The match is on Oct 21, 2026, at 20:00 local time (UTC+1). It is a UEFA Champions League fixture being played at the Allianz Arena in Munich.
- What are the odds for Bayern Munich vs Arsenal FC?
- Selected bookmaker odds show a range of prices. For a Bayern Munich home win, odds are between 2.50 and 1.95. A draw is priced around 2.40, and an Arsenal FC away win is available at odds up to 3.30.