Arsenal Tivat - Decic Tuzi prediction 8 October 2026

The Arsenal Tivat vs Decic Tuzi prediction for this 1 CFL match on Oct 8 at 13:00 points to an away win, with Decic Tuzi holding a 43% chance of victory. Arsenal Tivat, bottom of the table, have just a 17% probability, while the draw sits at 40% based on odds, form, and head-to-head data.

Team Form

Arsenal Tivat are in poor shape, losing four of their last five matches (L, W, L, L, L). Their only win came away at Petrovac (2-1) on Sep 14. Home defeats to Sutjeska (0-2), Mladost DG (0-1), and Otrant Ulcinj (1-2), plus a 5-2 thrashing at Jezero, highlight defensive frailties — 11 goals conceded in those five games.

Decic Tuzi's recent form is mixed but better: D, L, D, L, W. They beat Jezero 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 with both FK Mornar Bar and Petrovac, and lost to Sutjeska (0-2) and Mladost DG (0-2). With 2 clean sheets in 5, they look more solid than their hosts.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall H2H is evenly balanced: 6 Arsenal Tivat wins, 11 draws, 6 Decic Tuzi wins. However, recent meetings favour the visitors. In the last five clashes across all competitions, Decic Tuzi won three times — including a 4-1 friendly in July 2026 — Arsenal Tivat won once (2-1 in May 2026), and there was one 0-0 draw in August 2026. The high number of historical draws (11) is a key factor in the betting odds.

League Table Positions

Arsenal Tivat sit 10th (last) with 7 points from 9 games (1W, 4D, 4L, 5:11 goals). At home, they have yet to win: 0W, 1D, 3L. Decic Tuzi are 3rd with 14 points from 8 matches (4W, 2D, 2L, 9:6 goals) and have a solid away record of 2W, 0D, 2L. The 7-point gap and contrasting home/away stats strongly favour the away side.

Win Probability: Arsenal Tivat or Decic Tuzi?

Based on bookmaker odds (average 1X2: 4.31, 1.97, 2.36), the implied chances are ~20% home win, ~44% draw, ~36% away win. Adjusting for Arsenal Tivat's dreadful form, last-place position, and poor home record, we lower the home win probability to 17%. The draw remains high at 40% due to the 11 H2H draws and Decic Tuzi's two recent stalemates. Decic Tuzi's win probability rises to 43%, reflecting their superior league standing and better recent results. In summary, Decic Tuzi are the more likely winners, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest with a draw the most probable result. Odds from three major bookies range from 4.10 to 4.50 for an Arsenal Tivat win, 1.95 to 2.00 for the draw, and 2.25 to 2.45 for a Decic Tuzi victory. The best value might be on the away win given the statistical adjustment. Our Arsenal Tivat vs Decic Tuzi prediction: based on the stats, Decic Tuzi to win, but the draw is a strong second option. A low-scoring match is likely, with under 2.5 goals a sensible betting tip.