AS Douanes Nouakchott - ASC Gendrim prediction 11 October 2026
AS Douanes Nouakchott
ASC GendrimAS Douanes Nouakchott
BelouizdadAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimN Zidane FCAS Douanes NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottKaedi FCAS Douanes NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottNouadhibouChemalAS Douanes NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottNouakchott AcademieAS Douanes NouakchottPompierInter NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottInter NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottNouakchott KingsASC PoliceAS Douanes NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottKsarChemalASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimASC GendrimASC PoliceAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimKsarASC ArmeeASC GendrimASC GendrimTevragh-ZeineASC GendrimKaedi FCNouadhibouASC GendrimASC GendrimChemalNouakchott AcademieASC GendrimASC GendrimASC SnimPompierASC GendrimASC GendrimInter NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimAS Douanes NouakchottAS Douanes NouakchottASC GendrimASC GendrimAS Douanes Nouakchott| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pompier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Police | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Tevragh-Zeine | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 5 |
| 4 | ASC Gendrim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 |  N Zidane FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |  Chemal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 |  ASC Armee | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 8 |  ASC Snim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Nouadhibou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Nouakchott Academie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Nouakchott Kings | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 |  Kaedi FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 |  Kedia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
| 14 | AS Douanes Nouakchott | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
AS Douanes Nouakchott vs ASC Gendrim Prediction (Oct 11)
Our AS Douanes Nouakchott vs ASC Gendrim prediction for this Division 1 match on Oct 11, 2026, at 18:00 gives the home side a 50% chance of winning. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and league table positions, AS Douanes Nouakchott enter as the favorite, but recent form suggests a tight contest.
Team Form
AS Douanes Nouakchott come into this fixture without a win in their last five matches (three draws, two losses). Their most recent result was a 3-0 away defeat to N Zidane FC on May 24. Before that, they lost 1-0 at home to ASC Gendrim, drew 1-1 away to ASC Gendrim in the Cup, and recorded back-to-back draws against Kaedi FC (1-1) and Nouadhibou (2-2).
ASC Gendrim have been more positive, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. They beat ASC Police 2-1 at home on May 25, won 1-0 away at AS Douanes Nouakchott, drew 1-1 at home with AS Douanes Nouakchott in the Cup, lost 4-1 at home to Ksar, and drew 0-0 away to ASC Armee in the Cup.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head record heavily favors AS Douanes Nouakchott: 6 wins, 2 draws, and just 2 wins for ASC Gendrim. In their last five meetings, AS Douanes Nouakchott won three (3-0 home, 1-0 away, 3-1 away), ASC Gendrim won one (1-0 away), and one ended in a 1-1 draw. The most recent clash on May 19, 2026, saw ASC Gendrim win 1-0 at AS Douanes Nouakchott.
League Table Positions
AS Douanes Nouakchott finished the season 3rd in the Division 1 table with 45 points from 26 matches (12 wins, 9 draws, 5 losses). They scored 40 goals and conceded 29. At home, they were strong: 7 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, with 23 goals scored and 15 conceded.
ASC Gendrim ended in 10th place with 33 points (8 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses), scoring 24 and conceding 34. On the road, they managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 13 goals for and 19 against. The 12-point gap and home advantage clearly point to AS Douanes Nouakchott as the stronger side on paper.
Win Probability: AS Douanes Nouakchott or ASC Gendrim?
We calculate the win probability using the bookmakers' odds as a base and adjust for form, H2H, and league positions. The fair odds implied probabilities (after removing the margin) give AS Douanes Nouakchott a 49% chance, the draw 29%, and ASC Gendrim 22%. Factoring in the strong H2H record and home advantage, we slightly raise the home win probability to 50%. The draw stays at 28%, and ASC Gendrim's chance is 22%. Therefore, AS Douanes Nouakchott has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and ASC Gendrim has a 22% chance.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available 1X2 odds are: home win at 1.83, draw at 3.10, away win at 4.10. Bookmakers see AS Douanes Nouakchott as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home victory, but ASC Gendrim's recent form and the last H2H result suggest they could snatch a point. Our prediction: AS Douanes Nouakchott to win, but with caution given their winless run.
AS Douanes Nouakchott vs ASC Gendrim โ FAQ
- Who will win AS Douanes Nouakchott vs ASC Gendrim?
- AS Douanes Nouakchott are the favorites with a 50% win probability, compared to 22% for ASC Gendrim and a 28% chance of a draw. The prediction leans toward a home win based on the head-to-head record and league table positions.
- What is the win probability for AS Douanes Nouakchott?
- AS Douanes Nouakchott have a 50% chance of winning this match. This is based on the inverse of the 1.83 odds, adjusted for their strong H2H record (6 wins in 10 meetings) and 3rd-place finish, despite a recent dip in form.
- When is the AS Douanes Nouakchott vs ASC Gendrim match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, at 18:00 local time. It will be played in the Mauritania Division 1.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are: AS Douanes Nouakchott win at 1.83, draw at 3.10, and ASC Gendrim win at 4.10. These odds imply a home win probability of around 49% before adjustments.