Torino - AS Roma prediction 14 September 2026

The Torino vs AS Roma prediction for the Serie A match on Sep 14, 2026, at 16:30 points to a clear away advantage. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, AS Roma has a 53% chance of winning, while Torino sits at just 12%, with a draw probability of 35%. The match at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino will be officiated by Fabio Maresca.

Team Form

Torino's recent results show inconsistency: W, L, L, L, W in their last five outings. A 2-1 win at Fiorentina and a 1-0 home victory over Carrarese were offset by defeats to Monza (0-1), Sassuolo (1-2), and AC Milan (1-2). At home, they have lost two of their last three, struggling against top-half sides.

AS Roma comes into this match unbeaten in five (D, W, W, W, D). They drew 1-1 at Fenerbahce in the Champions League, beat Atalanta 2-1, thrashed Lecce 4-0, demolished Fiorentina 4-0, and drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund in a friendly. Their away form is particularly strong: a draw in Turkey, a 4-0 win at Lecce, and a 2-2 draw in Dortmund.

Head-to-Head Record

In 25 previous meetings, AS Roma dominates with 16 wins to Torino's 7, with 2 draws. The last five encounters:

• Jan 18, 2026: Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• Jan 13, 2026: AS Roma 2-3 Torino (Cup)
• Sep 14, 2025: AS Roma 0-1 Torino (Serie A)
• May 25, 2025: Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• Oct 31, 2024: AS Roma 1-0 Torino (Serie A)

AS Roma has won three of the last five, including the most recent league clash 2-0 at this very stadium. Torino's two wins in that span came in a cup tie and an early-season Serie A match last year.

League Table Positions

AS Roma sits top of Serie A with a perfect record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 10 goals scored and only 1 conceded, totaling 9 points. Torino is outside the top 12 in the standings, indicating a significant gap in current performance. Roma's away record is flawless: 1 win, 4 goals for, 0 against.

Win Probability: Torino or AS Roma?

We calculate the chances using bookmaker odds as a base, then adjust for form and H2H. The fair odds (after removing the margin) imply: Torino win 15%, draw 37%, AS Roma win 48%. However, Roma's superior form (unbeaten in five, three wins) and Torino's poor run (three losses in five) tilt the probabilities further. We set the final win probabilities at:

• Torino win: 12%
• Draw: 35%
• AS Roma win: 53%

AS Roma is the clear favorite. Their attacking output (10 goals in 3 league games) and defensive solidity (1 conceded) make them highly likely to take all three points, though a draw remains a realistic outcome given the odds.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match as follows: Torino home win at 6.00, the draw at 2.38, and an AS Roma away win at 1.83. These odds reflect Roma's status as the strong favorite. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is an AS Roma victory. Our prediction: AS Roma to win, with a 53% probability. For betting tips, the away win offers value, but the draw odds are also worth considering given Torino's occasional resilience at home.