Kiryat Gat Women - ASA Tel Aviv Women prediction 22 October 2026

The Kiryat Gat Women vs ASA Tel Aviv Women prediction for this League Al Women clash on Oct 22, 2026, at 16:10 heavily favors the home side. Based on the data, Kiryat Gat Women have a 64% win probability, establishing them as the clear favorite in this matchup.

Team Form

Kiryat Gat Women's recent form is mixed but shows strength in key matches. Their last five results read W, L, W, W, L. They secured a 1-0 away win against Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Women in the Cup Women on Oct 19, but suffered a 4-2 league loss to the same opponent in September. Wins against Hapoel Raanana Women (1-0) and ASA Tel Aviv Women (1-0 in the cup) highlight their ability to grind out results, though a 0-2 home loss to Hapoel Tel Aviv Women exposes some inconsistency.

ASA Tel Aviv Women arrive with a slightly more positive recent run: W, W, D, L, W. An impressive 7-0 away victory at Bnot Netanya Women on Sep 24 showcases their attacking potential. They also edged Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women 2-1 at home and drew 0-0 at Hapoel Tel Aviv Women. Their only recent defeat came against Kiryat Gat Women (0-1) in the Cup Women on Aug 30.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record is overwhelmingly in favor of Kiryat Gat Women. Across 40 meetings, Kiryat Gat have won 28 times, ASA Tel Aviv have won 5, and 7 matches ended in a draw. The last five encounters strongly support this trend: Kiryat Gat Women won 1-0 (Aug 2026), 2-0 (May 2026), and 2-0 (Apr 2026), with two 2-2 draws in the cup (Apr 2026) and league (Feb 2026). ASA Tel Aviv have not beaten Kiryat Gat in any of those recent clashes.

League Table Positions

While exact league table positions and points are not provided in the data, the dominance in head-to-head and the home advantage strongly position Kiryat Gat Women as the team higher up in the League Al Women hierarchy. ASA Tel Aviv Women enter as clear underdogs, a status reflected in their recent inability to defeat Kiryat Gat.

Win Probability: Kiryat Gat Women or ASA Tel Aviv Women?

Calculating the probabilities, Kiryat Gat Women have a 64% chance of winning, a draw stands at 22%, and ASA Tel Aviv Women have a 14% chance. This assessment is based on the inverse of the best available odds for each outcome (home 1.75, draw 2.60, away 3.50), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then heavily adjusted to reflect H2H dominance (28 wins vs 5 in 40 matches) and the home advantage factor. ASA Tel Aviv's strong 7-0 away win is noted but is outweighed by the consistent H2H results.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers across the market see Kiryat Gat Women as the favorite, with odds as low as 1.75 for a home win. The draw can be backed at around 2.60, while an ASA Tel Aviv away victory pays up to 3.60. Based on the stats, the Kiryat Gat Women vs ASA Tel Aviv prediction is a home win. The combination of an overwhelming head-to-head lead and home advantage points strongly to Kiryat Gat taking all three points.