ASA Tel Aviv Women - Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women prediction 16 September 2026

The ASA Tel Aviv Women vs Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women prediction points to an extremely tight League Al Women clash on September 16, 2026. Kick-off is at 16:40, and our win probability analysis gives the visitors Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women a slim 34% edge over hosts ASA Tel Aviv Women (31%), with a draw rated at 35%.

Team Form

ASA Tel Aviv Women have produced mixed results in their last five outings: a goalless away draw with Hapoel Tel Aviv Women, a 0-1 home defeat to Kiryat Gat Women, back-to-back away wins at Hapoel Raanana Women (1-0) and Hapoel Tel Aviv Women (2-1), and a 1-4 away loss to Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Women. That record yields two wins, two losses, and one draw, underlining inconsistency. Notably, they have played only one home match in that span – a loss – so home advantage is hardly a guarantee.

Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women’s form is slightly stronger. They posted three wins and two losses in their last five: 6-0 and 4-0 home thrashings of Bnot Netanya Women and Maccabi Holon Women respectively, a 2-0 home win against Maccabi Panthers Ashdod Women, but heavy defeats to Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Women (0-3) and Hapoel Raanana Women (0-4). The visitors have also played four of those five at home, winning three, but their lone away game ended in a 0-4 loss.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time head-to-head series comprises 39 meetings: ASA Tel Aviv Women have 13 wins, Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women 18, and 8 draws. The last five encounters further reflect the away side’s edge – after ASA’s 4-3 home win in February 2026, the next four fixtures produced two draws (0-0, 2-2) and two away victories for Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women (1-0, 4-1). So in the most recent five clashes, the visitors have won twice, lost once, and drawn twice.

Win Probability: ASA Tel Aviv Women vs Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women Prediction

Using the latest bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head data, we calculate the true probabilities: ASA Tel Aviv Women win — 31%, Draw — 35%, Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women win — 34%. Bookmakers’ quotes imply a close match; after removing the typical overround, the initial probabilities hovered around 33%/36%/31%. However, the visitors’ better last-five record (3 wins vs 2) and their historical dominance (18 wins in 39 H2H matches) tip the scales slightly in their favour. While the draw remains the single most probable outcome, Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women are marginally the more likely team to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Pinnacle and other bookmakers price the match as a three-way toss-up. The best available odds at the time of writing are: home win 2.62–2.75, draw 2.40–2.60, away win 2.70–3.00. These quotes align with our tight probability distribution. For betting tips, the value may lie in backing the draw at around 2.55, but our final ASA Tel Aviv Women vs Maccabi Kishronot Hadera Women prediction is that the visitors could edge a narrow victory. Nonetheless, expect a closely fought contest where a stalemate is a realistic outcome.