| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.30 | 3.00 | 1.58 | |
| 5.80 | 3.10 | 1.57 | |
| 5.50 | 3.00 | 1.55 | |
| 7.00 | 3.10 | 1.33 | |
| 7.67 | 2.02 | 1.33 | |
| 5.50 | 2.80 | 1.25 |
The CS Sporting Liesti vs ASC Bacau prediction for this Romania Cup match on October 28, 2026, at 13:00 UTC points towards the away side as the clear favorite. Based on our analysis combining recent form and historical data, ASC Bacau enters this fixture with a higher probability of securing the win.
CS Sporting Liesti's recent results in Liga III show a mixed pattern. They have recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Their most recent outings include a high-scoring 7-0 victory against ACS Recolta Gheorghe Doja and a 4-1 away win at CSA Axiopolis Cernavoda, but these were punctuated by a 0-2 home loss to ACS Progresul Fundulea. In the Cup, they suffered a 1-4 defeat against Dinamo Bucuresti 1948.
ASC Bacau competes in Liga II, a higher division, and their recent form reflects tougher competition. Over the last five matches, they have one win, two draws, and two losses. After a 3-0 home win against Gloria Bistrita, they fell to narrow 1-0 away defeats against SSU Politehnica Timisoara and FC Bihor Oradea, alongside two draws in friendly and league competitions.
The history between these sides strongly favors ASC Bacau. In two previous meetings, both in Liga III, ASC Bacau won both times. On September 6, 2019, they secured a 1-0 victory, and earlier, on May 10, 2017, they won 3-2. CS Sporting Liesti has yet to register a win or a draw against their opponents.
Specific league table positions for the current season are not available in the provided data. However, the competition level offers a key insight: ASC Bacau plays in Liga II, while CS Sporting Liesti competes in Liga III. This division gap typically indicates a difference in squad quality and match intensity.
Our calculated win probability based on form, head-to-head, and divisional status gives CS Sporting Liesti a 20% chance of winning. The draw has a 25% probability, and ASC Bacau holds a 55% chance of victory. While the bookmaker odds imply a fairly dominant favorite in ASC Bacau, the home side's recent high-scoring wins add a speculative element that slightly boosts the draw and home win percentages from the raw implied odds.
Bookmakers strongly favor ASC Bacau for this Cup tie. The lowest available odds for an away win stand at 1.25, while higher odds can be found up to 1.58. The best odds for a draw sit at 3.10, and a home victory for CS Sporting Liesti is priced as high as 7.67. Considering the head-to-head dominance and the league tier difference, an away win is the most likely outcome. The match prediction is an ASC Bacau victory, but given the knockout nature of the cup and CS Sporting Liesti's ability to find the net recently, taking a bet on the away win with a safety bet on the draw might be a prudent approach for betting tips.