Chemal - ASC Police prediction 12 October 2026
Chemal
ASC PoliceChemal
ASC GendrimChemalASC PoliceChemalTevragh-ZeineChemalPompierInter NouakchottChemalChemalNouakchott KingsASC PoliceChemalChemalASC PoliceChemalAS Douanes NouakchottKsarChemalChemalN Zidane FCASC GendrimChemalChemalKaedi FCNouadhibouChemalChemalTevragh-ZeineKaedi FCASC PoliceASC PoliceKaedi FCChemalASC PoliceASC GendrimASC PoliceASC PoliceKaedi FCNouadhibouASC PoliceASC PoliceChemalChemalASC PoliceNouakchott AcademieASC PoliceASC PoliceASC SnimPompierASC PoliceASC PoliceInter NouakchottNouakchott KingsASC PoliceTevragh-ZeineASC PoliceASC PoliceAS Douanes NouakchottChemalASC PoliceASC PoliceChemalChemalASC PoliceChemalASC Police| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pompier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Police | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Tevragh-Zeine | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 5 |
| 4 |  ASC Gendrim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 |  N Zidane FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Chemal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 |  ASC Armee | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 8 |  ASC Snim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Nouadhibou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Nouakchott Academie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Nouakchott Kings | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 |  Kaedi FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 |  Kedia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
| 14 |  AS Douanes Nouakchott | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Chemal vs ASC Police Prediction (Oct 12)
Our Chemal vs ASC Police prediction for this Division 1 match on October 12, 2026, at 18:30 points towards a home win. Based on the available data, Chemal has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and ASC Police has a 20% chance. Bookmakers also see Chemal as the favorite, and the team's strong form makes them the likely winner.
Team Form
Chemal comes into this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five matches. Their recent results include a 1-0 cup win over Tevragh-Zeine on Jun 12, a 1-0 league victory against Pompier on May 25, and a 5-3 away win at Inter Nouakchott on May 16. The only blip was a 4-3 home loss to Nouakchott Kings on May 12.
ASC Police, on the other hand, is in terrible form with five consecutive losses. They have been defeated by ASC Gendrim (2-1), Kaedi FC (1-0), and Nouadhibou (4-1) in their last three Division 1 outings. The team is clearly struggling for confidence and results.
Head-to-Head Record
Chemal has dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in three previous meetings. The head-to-head record shows 2 wins for Chemal and 1 draw. The most recent clash was on May 3, 2026, in Division 1, where Chemal secured a 1-0 away victory. Earlier in 2026, Chemal won 2-0 at home in the Cup, and the teams drew 1-1 in a league match back in December 2025. ASC Police has never beaten Chemal.
League Table Positions
In the overall Division 1 standings, Chemal finished 6th with 36 points from 26 matches (10 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses). ASC Police ended the season in 11th place with 26 points (5 wins, 11 draws, 10 losses). The 10-point gap reflects the difference in quality between the two sides. At home, Chemal ranked 7th with 19 points from 13 games, while ASC Police's away form was not strong enough to feature in the top 8 away standings.
Win Probability: Chemal or ASC Police?
Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. Chemal has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and ASC Police has a 20% chance. The calculation uses the inverse of the bookmaker odds as a base, normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusts for Chemal's superior recent form (4 wins in 5) and unbeaten H2H record against an ASC Police side on a 5-match losing streak. Chemal is clearly the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available odds from bookmakers show variation in the market. One bookmaker offers a home win at 2.90, a draw at 1.95, and an away win at 3.60. Another has the home win at 2.25, the draw at 3.00, and the away win at 2.88. The odds imply a competitive match but consistently favor Chemal. Based on the stats, our prediction is a home win for Chemal, continuing their dominance in this fixture.
Chemal vs ASC Police โ FAQ
- Who will win Chemal vs ASC Police?
- Chemal is the most likely winner with a 52% probability. The draw has a 28% chance, while ASC Police has only a 20% chance of winning, based on odds, recent form, and a head-to-head record that shows Chemal unbeaten in three meetings.
- What is the win probability for Chemal?
- Chemal has a 52% chance of winning this match. This is based on their strong form of four wins in five games, a 10-point advantage in the league table, and an unbeaten head-to-head record against ASC Police.
- When is the Chemal vs ASC Police match?
- The match is on October 12, 2026, at 18:30 local time. It is a Division 1 fixture in Mauritania.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary between bookmakers. One bookmaker lists a Chemal win at 2.90, a draw at 1.95, and an ASC Police win at 3.60. Another offers a home win at 2.25, a draw at 3.00, and an away win at 2.88.