Leek Town - Ashton United prediction 10 October 2026
Leek Town
Ashton UnitedLeek Town
BootleLancaster CityLeek TownBuryLeek TownLeek TownAshton UnitedLeek TownWarrington RylandsLeek TownHydeRedcar AthleticLeek TownLeek TownWarrington TownWorkingtonLeek TownAvroLeek TownLeek TownBamber BridgeLeek TownAFC EmleyStockton TownLeek TownFC United of ManchesterLeek TownLeek TownWhitby TownAshton UnitedRedcar AthleticAvroAshton UnitedAshton UnitedRedcar AthleticAshton UnitedAlfreton TownLeek TownAshton UnitedQuorn FCAshton UnitedBuxtonAshton UnitedAshton UnitedCleethorpes TownCurzon AshtonAshton UnitedAshton UnitedGainsborough TrinityAshton UnitedIlkeston TownAFC EmleyAshton UnitedAshton UnitedWhitby TownBamber BridgeAshton UnitedStockton TownAshton UnitedLeek TownAshton UnitedAshton UnitedLeek TownLeek TownAshton UnitedLeek TownAshton UnitedAshton UnitedLeek Town| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 31:17 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37:27 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 22:37 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:28 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  FC United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:34 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10:34 | -24 | 10 |
Leek Town vs Ashton United Prediction (Oct 10)
The Leek Town vs Ashton United prediction for October 10, 2026, sees this Northern Premier League fixture kick off at 15:00. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Leek Town enters the match as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Ashton United holds a 35% chance of victory and the draw sits at 23%.
Team Form
Leek Town's recent form has been inconsistent, with results reading D, W, L, L, L in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 3-3 home draw against Warrington Rylands on October 6. Prior to that, they secured a 2-1 home win over Hyde on September 22, but suffered three consecutive defeats: 3-2 away to Redcar Athletic, 2-1 at home to Warrington Town, and 3-2 away to Workington.
Ashton United's form is even more concerning, with a D, L, L, L, L sequence across their last five. They managed a 2-2 draw away to Quorn FC on October 6, but lost the previous four: 1-0 away to Buxton in the FA Cup, 1-0 at home to Cleethorpes Town, 2-0 away to Curzon Ashton, and 2-1 at home to Gainsborough Trinity.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Leek Town, who have won 3 of the 4 meetings, with Ashton United winning just 1 and no draws. The most recent clash on March 7, 2026, saw Leek Town win 1-0 away at Ashton United. Earlier in the 2025-26 season, Leek Town won 2-0 at home on November 11, 2025. They also claimed a 3-1 home victory on March 22, 2025. Ashton United's sole win came on November 16, 2024, a 1-0 home success.
League Table Positions
Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall league table provided, suggesting both are positioned in the lower half of the Northern Premier League. The standings data includes teams up to 12th place (Hyde with 14 points), indicating Leek Town and Ashton United have accumulated fewer points. Their recent poor form aligns with a struggle to climb the table.
Win Probability: Leek Town or Ashton United?
Leek Town has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Ashton United has a 35% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the available odds (home 2.42, draw 3.35, away 2.42) as a base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Leek Town's dominant head-to-head record (3 wins in 4) and home advantage. While both teams are in poor form, Leek Town's historical edge and slightly better recent result (a win and a draw vs Ashton's single draw) tilt the probability in their favor.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a very even contest, with both a Leek Town win and an Ashton United win priced at 2.42, and the draw at 3.35. Based on the stats, Leek Town is more likely to secure the victory, but the match is expected to be closely contested. The prediction leans towards a home win, but the high draw odds and both teams' struggles make a stalemate a realistic outcome.
Leek Town vs Ashton United โ FAQ
- Who will win Leek Town vs Ashton United?
- Leek Town is the more likely winner with a 42% probability, compared to 35% for Ashton United and a 23% chance of a draw. This is based on Leek Town's strong head-to-head record and home advantage, despite both teams showing poor recent form.
- What is the win probability for Leek Town?
- Leek Town has a 42% chance of winning. This percentage is derived from the betting odds and adjusted for their 3 wins in 4 head-to-head matches against Ashton United and the benefit of playing at home.
- When is the Leek Town vs Ashton United match?
- The match is scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a Northern Premier League fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current pre-match odds are 2.42 for a Leek Town win, 3.35 for a draw, and 2.42 for an Ashton United victory. These odds indicate the bookmakers view the match as highly balanced.