Comerciantes Loreto - Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria prediction 11 October 2026

The Comerciantes Loreto vs Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria prediction for October 11, 2026, points towards a home victory in this Segunda Division clash. Based on our analysis of recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings, Comerciantes Loreto enters the match as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while the visitors hold a 22% chance of an upset.

Team Form

Comerciantes Loreto's recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches (L, W, L, D, D). Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home defeat to Sport Huancayo Reserves on Sep 25. Prior to that, they showed their attacking potential with a dominant 5-1 home win against Ayacucho FC on Sep 4.

Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria comes into this fixture in stronger form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five (W, D, W, W, L). They secured a solid 0-1 away victory against Sport Huancayo Reserves on Oct 7 and have kept two clean sheets in their last three matches, indicating defensive stability on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced, with 0 wins for Comerciantes Loreto, 0 wins for Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria, and 2 draws. Both previous encounters in the Segunda Division ended in stalemates. The most recent meeting on Aug 30, 2025, finished 2-2, while the earlier clash on Jul 26, 2025, ended 1-1. History suggests a tight contest is likely.

League Table Positions

Comerciantes Loreto sits 5th in the overall Segunda Division standings with 26 points from 16 matches (6 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses). They have been particularly strong at home, ranking 4th with an unbeaten record of 5 wins and 3 draws, scoring 18 goals and conceding just 8.

Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria is 12th in the league with 21 points from 15 games (5 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses). Their away form places them 7th, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 7. The home side's superior league position and formidable home record give them a clear advantage.

Win Probability: Comerciantes Loreto or Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria?

Comerciantes Loreto has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria has a 22% chance. These probabilities are derived from the teams' league positions, home and away form, and the drawn head-to-head history. Comerciantes Loreto's unbeaten home record and higher table standing make them the more likely winner, but the visitors' recent away form and the history of draws between these sides keep the probabilities balanced in favor of a competitive match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not currently available in the provided data. Based on the stats, Comerciantes Loreto is the predicted winner. Their strong home performances, where they average over two goals per game, should be enough to overcome an Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria side that has struggled for consistency on the road. However, with both previous head-to-head meetings ending in draws, a cautious approach suggests a low-scoring affair where the home side is most likely to edge it.