Assyriska - FBK Karlstad prediction 11 October 2026

The Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad prediction for this Sweden Division 1 encounter on October 11, 2026, gives the visitors a slight edge with a 40% win probability. The match kicks off at 15:00 local time, and bookmakers expect a tight, competitive affair.

Team Form

Assyriska's Recent Matches

Assyriska have been in poor form, losing four of their last five league games. The only bright spot was a 5-1 away win at Vasalunds IF on September 21. Heavy defeats to Stockholm Internazionale (0-3), Pitea IF (1-2), AFC Eskilstuna (2-5) and Enkopings SK (1-2) show serious defensive issues – 13 goals conceded in those five outings, an average of 2.6 per game. Playing at home has not helped, with two of those losses coming at their own ground.

FBK Karlstad's Recent Matches

FBK Karlstad are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. They drew 2-2 with AFC Eskilstuna, won 3-1 away at Umea FC, played goalless draws against Sollentuna United FF and IF Karlstad, and beat Vasalunds IF 2-1. That run includes three clean sheets, only four goals conceded, and a solid away performance at Umea. Their consistency makes them a tough side to break down.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on August 1, 2026. In that match, Assyriska won 2-0 away at FBK Karlstad. The result gives Assyriska a perfect head-to-head record, but the sample size is very small and should be weighted lightly against current form.

Win Probability: Assyriska or FBK Karlstad?

We calculated outcome probabilities using the available odds, the contrasting form of both sides, the head-to-head result, and the fact that Assyriska are at home. The numbers are as follows:

• Assyriska win: 25%
• Draw: 35%
• FBK Karlstad win: 40%

Bookmakers’ odds implied a nearly even contest (around 34%–35% for each outcome), but after factoring in Assyriska’s losing streak and FBK Karlstad’s unbeaten run, we shifted probability towards the away side. The draw remains a strong possibility given FBK Karlstad’s three draws in their last five and Assyriska’s unpredictable home performances. Therefore, FBK Karlstad are the more likely winner, but only by a small margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 market is very balanced. The best available odds from bookmakers are:

• Assyriska win: 2.45
• Draw: 2.40
• FBK Karlstad win: 2.62

These figures underline that no outcome is a clear favourite. Based on the 40% win probability for FBK Karlstad and their solid defensive form, our prediction is a narrow away win. However, the high draw probability (35%) suggests that a stalemate is a very realistic alternative. Punters looking at betting tips may find value in a “Double Chance X2” or a straight draw bet.