Niki Volou - Asteras Tripolis prediction 16 September 2026

The Niki Volou vs Asteras Tripolis prediction for the Cup match on Sep 16, 2026, points to an away-side advantage. Based on the latest odds and team form, Asteras Tripolis has a 42% win probability, while the draw stands at 38% and Niki Volou has a 20% chance. The match kicks off at 12:00 in the Greek Cup.

Team Form

Niki Volou enters this fixture in poor shape. Their last five results read L, L, L, D, W. Most recently, they lost 1-2 at home to Olympiacos Piraeus B (Super League 2) on Sep 13, and before that fell 1-2 away to PAE Athens Kallithea on Sep 7. A 0-1 Cup defeat at Panathinaikos on Sep 3 and a 0-0 home draw with Panionios on Aug 19 complete a run where they have scored just two goals in four matches. The only win in this sequence came back on Mar 22, a 3-0 home success against Asteras Tripolis B.

Asteras Tripolis has also struggled, with form figures of D, D, L, L, L. They drew 1-1 at home to AEK Athens (Super League) on Sep 13 and 1-1 at home to Aris Thessaloniki in the Cup on Sep 10. However, they lost twice to Iraklis 1908 on Sep 7 (0-2 home and 0-2 away) and fell 0-1 at home to Olympiacos Piraeus on Aug 30. Despite the winless streak, Asteras Tripolis competes in the Super League – Greece's top tier – while Niki Volou plays in Super League 2, indicating a quality gap.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Niki Volou and Asteras Tripolis. The head-to-head record shows 0 wins for the home side, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, so this Cup tie will be their first ever encounter.

League Table Positions

Exact league table positions are not available in the data. However, the recent match logs confirm that Asteras Tripolis operates in the Super League, while Niki Volou is a Super League 2 side. This divisional difference is a key factor in assessing the relative strength of the two teams.

Win Probability: Niki Volou or Asteras Tripolis?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Niki Volou win – 20%, draw – 38%, Asteras Tripolis win – 42%. These figures are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 3.86, draw 2.30, away 2.24), with the implied probabilities adjusted to remove the margin and then modified slightly to reflect recent form and the league gap. Asteras Tripolis is the more likely winner, but both teams' poor runs make a stalemate a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average odds across six bookmakers are: Niki Volou win 3.86, draw 2.30, Asteras Tripolis win 2.24. Bookmakers clearly see Asteras Tripolis as the favorite. Our Niki Volou vs Asteras Tripolis prediction aligns with this view: based on the stats, Asteras Tripolis has the edge, but the high draw probability suggests a tight contest. A low-scoring draw or a narrow away win are the most likely scenarios.