Aston Villa - Fenerbahce prediction 14 October 2026
Aston Villa
FenerbahceAston Villa
Manchester CityAston VillaVikingNewcastle UnitedAston VillaAston VillaFenerbahceAston VillaBrentfordSevillaAston VillaTottenham HotspurAston VillaCoventry CityAston VillaAston VillaNottingham ForestClub BruggeAston VillaHull CityAston VillaAston VillaArsenal FCBrightonAston VillaBorussia MonchengladbachAston VillaAston VillaBayern MunichGalatasarayFenerbahceFenerbahceSlavia PrahaFenerbahceAlanyasporAston VillaFenerbahceCaykur RizesporFenerbahceTuran TovuzFenerbahceFenerbahceEyupsporGaziantep FKFenerbahceFenerbahceAS RomaFenerbahceBesiktasSamsunsporFenerbahceLyonFenerbahceFenerbahceKonyasporFenerbahceLyonGenclerbirligiFenerbahceAston VillaFenerbahceFenerbahceAston Villa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 6 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Arsenal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 |
| 13 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  Como 1907 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 24 |  Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 26 |  AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 27 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 28 |  Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |  LASK Linz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 |  LOSC Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 |
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Prediction (Oct 14)
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce prediction for the UEFA Champions League clash on Oct 14, 2026, at Villa Park. Aston Villa come into this match as the favourites, with a 50% win probability according to our calculations, while Fenerbahceโs chances stand at 22% and a draw at 28%.
Team Form
Aston Villa
Aston Villaโs last five matches: D, W, W, W, L. They drew 2โ2 at home to Brentford on Oct 10, won 3โ1 away at Sevilla in a friendly, beat Tottenham 3โ2 away, won 3โ1 at Coventry in the League Cup, and lost 1โ2 at home to Nottingham Forest. At Villa Park, their recent form is mixed with just one point from their last two home games.
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahceโs last five results: W, W, W, D, D. They won 3โ0 away at Caykur Rizespor, won 2โ0 in a friendly at Turan Tovuz, demolished Eyupspor 8โ0 at home, drew 0โ0 at Gaziantep FK, and drew 1โ1 at home against AS Roma in this competition. On the road, Fenerbahce are unbeaten in their last three away games (two wins, one draw).
Head-to-Head Record
The only previous meeting between these sides was a UEFA Europa League match on Jan 22, 2026. Aston Villa won 1โ0 at Fenerbahceโs stadium, giving the English side a 100% record in this fixture.
Win Probability: Aston Villa or Fenerbahce?
Our probability model combines bookmaker odds with recent form and headโtoโhead data. The average odds of 1.83 for a home win imply an initial probability of 48.6%. After adjusting for Aston Villaโs shaky home form and Fenerbahceโs solid away streak, we set the final percentages at Aston Villa win 50%, draw 28%, and Fenerbahce win 22%. The draw is a very realistic outcome โ it happened in two of Fenerbahceโs last five matches. Aston Villa remain the likeliest winners but canโt be considered a sure thing.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Aston Villa as the favourites, pricing a home win between 1.57 and 2.00. The draw is offered at odds from 2.40 to 4.20, while an away victory for Fenerbahce pays from 4.33 to 5.30. Based on all available data, our prediction is a narrow Aston Villa victory, but a draw remains a strong possibility. For betting tips, the home win (or draw no bet) markets hold value, and the under 3.5 goals line might be worth considering given the odds trend.
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce โ FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?
- Based on the latest stats and odds, Aston Villa have a 50% chance of winning the match, while Fenerbahce have a 22% chance. A draw has a 28% probability, making a home win the most likely single outcome but far from a certainty.
- What is the win probability for Aston Villa?
- Aston Villa have a 50% win probability. This figure is based on average bookmaker odds of 1.83 for a home win, adjusted for recent form and the headโtoโhead record.
- When is the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce match?
- The match takes place on Oct 14, 2026, at 20:00 local time (BST). It is part of the UEFA Champions League group stage and will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds show Aston Villa home win from 1.57 to 2.00, a draw from 2.40 to 4.20, and a Fenerbahce away win from 4.33 to 5.30. These odds come from various bookmakers listed on the event page.